New York Mets vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 9/24/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Texas Rangers

Date: Thursday, September 24, 2026

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Rangers Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-128) Texas (+106)

The New York Mets (72-85) are en route to Globe Life Field on Thursday where they will try to defeat the Texas Rangers (78-79). The odds on this game have the Mets at -128 and the Rangers are at +106. The total is 9. The expected starting pitchers are Zac Thornton and Kumar Rocker.

As a squad, the New York Mets are scoring 4.3 runs per game, which puts them at 22nd in MLB. They have racked up 674 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .310. The Mets have accounted for 203 doubles as a unit and have smacked 194 baseballs out of the stadium. They have recorded 644 runs batted in and 1,268 base knocks for the year, and their team batting average is at .239. New York is slugging .394 and have been called out on strikes 1,318 times, while being walked on 509 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.62 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.30. Mets pitchers have conceded 179 home runs and 712 total runs (18th in baseball). New York has relinquished 1,273 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and also 646 earned runs. The Mets are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.15 this season (16th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,413 hitters. They have walked 539 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.06 as a unit over the course of the season.

The Mets have sent 488 relievers to the mound this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 199 runners this year with 27.6% of those players crossing the plate. The relief pitchers have 73 holds over the course of the season (25th in baseball). Mets bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 141 times in addition to having 157 appearances in high leverage situations. They have recorded 31 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 19 of 50 save opportunities. The Mets relief pitchers have a save percentage of 62.0% and have stepped onto the mound in 127 save situations.

The New York Mets have accumulated 4,199 putouts so far this season, as well as 1,207 assists and 92 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983 which has them sitting 24th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 94 double plays. The Mets have turned 69.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 12,597 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 18th in professional baseball.

Thornton has pitched in 79 frames and has accumulated 59 punch outs during his MLB career. Thornton (5-5 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.36 while going up against 318 batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.41 (30 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.150. He has given up 74 base hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has 17 free passes.

The Rangers have a team slugging percentage of .396 and they have an average of 4.18 runs per outing (25th in MLB). They have notched 229 two-baggers, while taking a walk 517 times and scoring 656 runs. Texas has accounted for 176 home runs so far this year and 632 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,349 occasions (10th in baseball) and have earned 1,261 hits. The Texas Rangers have accumulated a team OBP of .318 in addition to a batting average of .242 on the season.

The Texas pitching staff have surrendered 693 runs on the year while having a team ERA of 4.28 (655 earned runs surrendered). They have allowed 184 homers and they relinquish 4.53 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league). The Rangers hold a team WHIP of 1.302 in addition to having a FIP of 4.14 as a staff this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.50 (1,301 strikeouts against 480 walks). They come in at 20th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 1,312.

They are currently ranked 9th in MLB holding a save rate of 67.7%, and they have dispatched 515 relief pitchers onto the diamond so far this season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 139 times in high leverage situations in addition to 142 occasions with base runners. With 144 save situations, the Rangers have accumulated 80 holds and 20 blown saves. Texas has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 62 save opportunities and they have walked away with 42 saves. Texas relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.3% of 214 inherited base runners.

In 12,387 innings on the diamond, the Rangers are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 69.7% (14th in baseball). The Texas Rangers have turned 98 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (6th in baseball). The Rangers have 1,232 assists, 67 errors and have accumulated 4,129 putouts on the campaign.

Thus far in his career, Rocker has surrendered 227 hits while totaling 204 punch outs in 219 innings. Rocker (9-18 career record) holds a 4.81 ERA and has surrendered 9.3 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 117 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.438 and having a FIP of 4.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.32 and he has gone up against 969 opposing batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Texas (+106) and under 9 runs

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