New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 6/29/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Monday, June 29, 2026

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+162) Toronto (-196)

The New York Mets (35-48) are traveling to Rogers Centre on Monday where they will compete against the Toronto Blue Jays (39-44). The moneyline on this game has the Mets at +162 and the Blue Jays are coming in at -196. The total is set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Nolan McLean and Trey Yesavage.

The Mets have earned 100 doubles as a squad and have smacked 92 baseballs out of the stadium. New York has a slugging % of .375 and have struck out 689 times, while being walked on 247 occasions. As a squad, the New York Mets are notching 4.0 runs per game, which ranks them 26th in the league. They have accumulated 321 runs batted in in addition to 641 hits on the campaign, while their average at the plate comes in at .231. They have tallied 335 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .298.

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The Mets have compiled a team ERA of 4.11 so far this year (14th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 760 batters. Mets pitchers have allowed 84 home runs and also 379 runs in total (19th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 295 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.88 as a squad on the year. New York has given up 654 base hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and also 339 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.58 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.28.

The Mets have dispatched 254 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The relievers have inherited 110 base runners so far this year and 32.7% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The relief pitchers have 30 holds on the campaign (28th in the league). Mets relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 84 times in addition to having 93 appearances in high leverage situations. They have accumulated 13 saves for the year and have missed out on 9 of their 22 save chances. The Mets bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 59.1% and have come into the game in 52 save situations.

The Mets have converted 69.7% of balls in play into outs in their 6,675 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 17th in MLB. The New York Mets have accumulated 2,225 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 671 assists and 54 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .982 which has them ranked 27th in professional baseball, and have 49 double plays.

McLean (9-6 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.30 and he has faced 560 batters in the majors. He has conceded 100 base hits (6.6 hits per 9 innings) with 50 free passes. His ERA is 3.35 (51 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.094. McLean has taken the ball for 137 innings and is sitting with 163 K's during his pro baseball career.

The Blue Jays hold a team slugging % of .392 and they average 4.11 runs per contest (22nd in the league). They have hit 137 doubles, while getting a free base 230 times as well as scoring 341 runs. Toronto is sitting with 85 home runs on the year as well as 328 runs batted in. They have struck out on 616 occasions (28th in MLB) and have recorded 696 base hits. The Toronto Blue Jays have earned an OBP of .311 and a team batting average of .249 for the year.

The Blue Jays are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.324 and have a FIP of 4.05 as a staff so far this year. They rank 18th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 678. The Toronto pitching staff have allowed 373 runs on the season while holding an ERA of 4.18 (342 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.90 (732 strikeouts vs 298 walks). They have relinquished 92 homers and they allow 4.55 runs per 9 innings (15th in baseball).

Toronto bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 25.4% of 138 inherited base runners. Their relievers have taken the field 102 times in high leverage situations and on 95 occasions with runners on. With 96 save situations, the Blue Jays have tallied 56 holds in addition to 12 blown saves. They rank 12th in baseball holding a save percentage of 67.6%, and they have dispatched 317 relievers to the hill for the year.

The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 61 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .983 (23rd in MLB). The Blue Jays have 710 assists, 51 errors and have amassed 2,213 putouts this season. In their 6,639 innings on the field, the Blue Jays have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (21st in MLB).

So far in his pro baseball career, Yesavage has conceded 54 hits while he has earned 74 K's in 74 innings pitched. He has surrendered a total of 29 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.226 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.00 and he has faced 311 batters so far in his career. Yesavage (4-3 career mark) is the owner of a 3.52 ERA while surrendering 6.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Toronto (-196) and under 9 runs

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