New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 6/30/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Tuesday, June 30, 2026

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+125) Toronto (-150)

The Toronto Blue Jays (39-45) are hosting the New York Mets (35-49) at Rogers Centre on Tuesday. The line on this matchup has New York at +125 while Toronto is coming in at -150. The total is 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Nolan McLean and Kevin Gausman.

New York is slugging .375 and have struck out 699 times, while taking a walk on 255 occasions. They have 325 RBI's in addition to 650 hits so far this season, and their team batting average comes in at .231. The Mets have accounted for 101 doubles as a team and have knocked 93 baseballs out of the park. They have 339 runs while holding a team OBP of .300. As a unit, the New York Mets are compiling 4.0 runs per contest, which is 26th in baseball.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.60 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.28. Mets pitchers have conceded 85 home runs and 384 runs in total (19th in MLB). New York has conceded 664 base knocks (8.0 per 9 innings) and 344 earned runs. The Mets have compiled a team earned run average of 4.12 so far this year (14th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 769 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 296 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.86 as a unit so far this year.

Mets bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 84 times and also have had 93 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 30 holds for the year (28th in MLB). The Mets relief pitchers have a save percentage of 59.1% and stepped onto the hill in 52 save situations. They have earned 13 saves this year and have not converted 9 out of their 22 save chances. The relievers have inherited 110 runners on the year and 32.7% of them crossing home plate. The Mets have sent 256 relievers to the hill this year.

The New York Mets have earned 2,252 putouts on the campaign, as well as 678 assists and 54 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .982 which puts them in 27th in pro baseball, and have a total of 49 double plays. The Mets have converted 69.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,756 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 18th in professional baseball.

McLean has taken the hill for 137 frames and has accounted for 163 strikeouts so far in his career. McLean (9-6 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.30 and he has faced 560 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.35 (51 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.094. He has surrendered 100 base knocks (6.6 hits per nine innings) with 50 free passes.

Toronto has tallied 86 home runs for the season to go along with 330 runs batted in. They have 137 doubles, while walking 231 times as well as recording 343 runs. The Toronto Blue Jays have accounted for an on-base percentage of .310 in addition to a batting average of .248 this season. The Blue Jays have a team slugging % of .391 and they have an average of 4.08 runs per contest (23rd in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 624 instances (28th in baseball) and have 702 base hits.

The Blue Jays hold a team WHIP of 1.327 with a FIP of 4.04 as a pitching staff for the year. They rank 19th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 686. The Toronto pitching staff have relinquished 376 runs this year while having a team ERA of 4.16 (345 earned runs allowed). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.90 (742 strikeouts vs 304 bases on balls). They have given up 93 homers and they give up 4.53 runs per 9 innings (15th in the league).

With 96 save situations, the Blue Jays have earned 56 holds and 12 blown saves. Toronto has had relievers enter the contest in 37 save chances and they have converted 25 saves. Toronto relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 25.4% of 142 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 104 times in high leverage situations and also on 97 occasions with base runners. They are currently ranked 12th in baseball holding a save percentage of 67.6%, and they have dispatched 320 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the campaign.

The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 63 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (23rd in the majors). The Blue Jays have recorded 718 assists, 52 errors and have earned 2,240 putouts for the season. In 6,720 innings on the field, the Blue Jays are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (23rd in pro baseball).

During his MLB career, Gausman has surrendered 1,926 hits while he has totaled 2,047 strikeouts in 2,006 innings. Gausman (116-119 record in his career) has earned a 3.84 earned run average and has surrendered 8.6 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 856 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.238 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 3.68 and he has gone up against 8,380 hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (+125)

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