New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 7/1/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Wednesday, July 1, 2026

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+162) Toronto (-196)

Rogers Centre is the location where the Toronto Blue Jays (40-45) will go up against the New York Mets (35-50) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Mets at +162 while the Blue Jays are coming in at -196. The over/under is 8. The men taking the mound will be Freddy Peralta and Patrick Corbin.

The Mets have accounted for 103 doubles as a unit and have knocked 94 baseballs out of the stadium. New York has a slugging percentage of .374 and have been called out on strikes 704 times, while taking a walk on 257 occasions. As a unit, the New York Mets are putting up 4.0 runs per game, which puts them at 28th in the league. They have earned 326 runs batted in in addition to 655 hits so far this season, and their batting average sits at .230. They have 340 runs scored and have an OBP of .299.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.59 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.28. Mets pitchers have allowed 85 long balls and 386 total runs (19th in the league). New York has allowed 669 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) as well as 346 earned runs. The Mets have compiled a team earned run average of 4.10 so far this year (13th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 777 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 300 hitters and their FIP sits at 3.85 as a unit on the campaign.

Mets relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 86 times in addition to having 93 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 30 holds on the year (28th in the league). The Mets relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 59.1% and have come into the game in 52 save situations. They have recorded 13 saves so far this year and have missed out on 9 out of their 22 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 114 runners on the campaign and 31.6% of them ended up scoring. The Mets have sent 258 relief pitchers to the hill on the year.

The New York Mets have earned 2,276 putouts for the season, as well as 687 assists and 56 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .981 which has them ranked 28th in baseball, and have earned 50 double plays. The Mets have turned 69.6% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,828 innings on the field, which has them sitting 18th in professional baseball.

Peralta has thrown 1,022 innings and has accumulated 1,241 strikeouts thus far in his career. Peralta (75-48 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.62 while he has faced 4,253 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.67 (417 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.154. He has surrendered 784 hits (6.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 395 free passes.

The Blue Jays hold a team slugging % of .389 and they average 4.06 runs per contest (25th in baseball). They have put up 138 doubles, while getting a free base 235 times as well as putting up 345 runs. Toronto has 86 home runs so far this season as well as 331 runs batted in. They have struck out on 632 occasions (27th in MLB) and have notched a total of 706 hits. The Toronto Blue Jays have compiled an on-base percentage of .310 and a team batting average of .247 on the campaign.

The Blue Jays have a WHIP of 1.320 in addition to having a FIP of 4.05 as a pitching staff on the year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.90 (747 strikeouts against 306 walks). They come in at 18th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 691. They have given up 94 home runs and they allow 4.49 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league). The Toronto pitching staff have allowed 377 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 4.12 (346 earned runs relinquished).

They are ranked 12th in MLB with a save rate of 68.4%, and they have dispatched 323 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 107 times in high leverage situations and on 98 occasions with runners on base. With 99 save situations, the Blue Jays have amassed 58 holds and also 12 blown saves. Toronto has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 38 save chances and they have earned 26 saves. Toronto relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 25.2% out of 143 inherited base runners.

Out of their 6,801 innings played, the Blue Jays are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (21st in MLB). The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 63 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (23rd in professional baseball). The Blue Jays have accrued 723 assists, 53 errors and have amassed 2,267 putouts so far this year.

In his career, Corbin has surrendered 2,262 base knocks while totaling 1,912 K's in 2,116 innings pitched. Corbin (112-146 career mark) has earned a 4.53 ERA and has allowed 9.6 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 1,064 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.378 and a FIP of 4.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.92 and he has gone up against 9,120 opposing hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Toronto (-196)

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