New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 9/25/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Washington Nationals

Date: Friday, September 25, 2026

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: Nationals.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-182) Washington (+150)

The New York Mets (72-85) are hitting the road to Nationals Park on Friday where they will take on the Washington Nationals (74-84). The line on this matchup has New York at -182 while Washington is priced at +150. The total comes in at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Jonah Tong and Andrew Alvarez.

As a unit, the New York Mets are recording 4.3 runs per game, which puts them at 22nd in the league. They have earned 674 runs and have an on-base percentage of .310. The Mets have tallied 203 doubles as a squad and have hit 194 balls out of the park. They have compiled 644 runs batted in in addition to 1,268 hits on the campaign, while their average at the plate sits at .239. New York has a slugging % of .394 and have struck out 1,318 times, while drawing a walk on 509 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.62 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.30. Mets pitchers have surrendered 179 home runs in addition to 712 runs (18th in the league). New York has conceded 1,273 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) in addition to 646 earned runs. The Mets hold a team earned run average of 4.15 so far this year (16th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,413 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 539 batters and their FIP is 4.06 as a team for the season.

The Mets relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 62.0% and have come into the game in 127 save situations. They have compiled 31 saves so far this season and have not converted 19 of 50 save chances. The relievers have inherited 199 runners on the season and 27.6% of them earned a run for their team. Mets bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 141 times in addition to having 157 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have sent 488 relievers to the hill this season. The bullpen have recorded 73 holds on the campaign (25th in baseball).

The Mets have converted 69.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,597 innings on the diamond, ranking them 18th in MLB. The New York Mets have a tally of 4,199 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,207 assists and 92 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .983 which ranks 24th in professional baseball, and have a total of 94 double plays.

Tong has thrown 43 innings and has accumulated 47 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 5.81 (28 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.544. He has surrendered 45 base knocks (9.3 hits per nine innings) with 22 walks. Tong (4-5 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 5.72 and he has faced 201 hitters in the majors.

The Washington Nationals are sitting with an OBP of .321 in addition to a team batting average of .247 for the year. They have been rung up on 1,319 occasions (13th in baseball) and have a total of 1,327 base hits. Washington has a total of 206 home runs this season to go along with 761 runs batted in. The Nationals hold a slugging % of .424 and they are scoring 5.08 runs per outing (3rd in MLB). They have recorded 277 doubles, while getting a free base 542 times as well as putting up 803 runs.

The Washington pitching staff have allowed 796 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 4.67 (727 earned runs surrendered). They have given up 210 long balls and they surrender 5.11 runs per 9 innings (27th in the league). The Nationals are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.388 with a FIP of 4.70 as a team on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.00 (1,245 strikeouts vs 587 walks). They come in at 26th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,358.

They are ranked 29th in the league holding a save rate of 48.1%, and they have sent 499 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 169 times in high leverage situations and also on 166 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 163 save situations, the Nationals have recorded 76 holds in addition to 42 blown saves. Washington has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 81 save chances and they have converted 39 saves. Washington relievers hold an inherited score rate of 39.2% of 260 inherited runners.

The Washington Nationals have turned 133 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .982 (29th in MLB). The Nationals have accrued 1,421 assists, 104 errors and have earned 4,203 putouts for the year. In 12,609 innings on the field, the Nationals have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 69.5% (17th in pro baseball).

During his pro baseball career, Alvarez has conceded 104 base knocks and he has 127 punch outs in 131 innings pitched. He has surrendered a total of 44 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.236 and a FIP of 3.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.19 and he has faced 548 batters during his MLB career. Alvarez (3-7 mark in his career) has a 3.02 earned run average and has given up 7.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-182)

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