New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 9/26/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Washington Nationals

Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: Nationals.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-128) Washington (+106)

The Washington Nationals (75-84) are welcoming the New York Mets (73-86) at Nationals Park on Saturday. The odds on this game have New York at -128 while Washington is priced at +106. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Jonah Tong and Connelly Early.

As a squad, the New York Mets are scoring 4.3 runs per game, which has them at 21st in the league. They have earned a total of 682 runs while holding a team OBP of .309. The Mets have accounted for 205 doubles as a squad and have knocked 197 baseballs out of the stadium. They have tallied 652 runs batted in as well as 1,280 base knocks this season, and their average at the plate is .238. New York has a slugging percentage of .393 and have struck out 1,332 times, while taking a walk on 516 occasions.

Get all of our MLB Parlay Picks

Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.63 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.29. Mets pitchers have allowed 181 long balls in addition to 717 total runs (18th in baseball). New York has surrendered 1,284 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 651 earned runs. The Mets have compiled a team ERA of 4.14 on the campaign (16th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,427 hitters. They have walked 543 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.06 as a squad so far this year.

The Mets have sent 493 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 201 base runners so far this year and 27.4% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The bullpen have racked up 74 holds so far this year (25th in the league). Mets pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 142 times in addition to having 158 appearances in high leverage situations. They have recorded 31 saves this season and have blown 19 of their 50 save chances. The Mets bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 62.0% and have entered the game in 128 save situations.

The New York Mets have a total of 4,250 putouts for the season, in addition to 1,227 assists and 92 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .983 which is 24th in the majors, and have earned 95 double plays. The Mets have turned 69.6% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,750 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 16th in MLB.

Tong has taken the mound for 43 frames and has 47 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 5.81 (28 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.544. He has given up 45 base hits (9.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 22 walks. Tong (4-5 career mark) has a FIP of 5.72 while he has faced 201 batters in the majors.

The Nationals have a team slugging percentage of .423 and they average 5.08 runs per contest (3rd in the league). They have hit 277 doubles, while walking 546 times as well as notching 807 runs. Washington has compiled 207 HRs so far this year and 765 RBIs. They have been rung up on 1,327 occasions (14th in the league) and have notched a total of 1,333 hits. The Washington Nationals have accounted for an OBP of .321 in addition to a batting average of .246 on the campaign.

The Washington pitching staff have given up 798 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 4.65 (729 earned runs surrendered). They have given up 211 home runs and they yield 5.09 runs per 9 innings (27th in baseball). The Nationals have a team WHIP of 1.389 with a FIP of 4.70 as a squad for the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.00 (1,254 strikeouts vs 593 walks). They are currently ranked 25th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,366.

They rank 29th in baseball with a save percentage of 48.8%, and they have sent 504 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. Their relievers have come in 170 times in high leverage situations in addition to 170 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 166 save situations, the Nationals have tallied 78 holds and also 42 blown saves. Washington has called on relievers to enter the game in 82 save opportunities and they have come away with 40 saves. Washington relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 38.5% of 265 inherited runners.

The Washington Nationals have turned 134 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .982 (29th in MLB). The Nationals have recorded 1,427 assists, 104 errors and have earned a total of 4,230 putouts on the campaign. In their 12,690 innings played, the Nationals have a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (17th in pro baseball).

Early (8-7 career mark) has a 3.26 earned run average and has surrendered 8.0 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.21 and he has faced 469 opposing hitters during his career. He has allowed 40 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.233 and a FIP of 3.2. Thus far in his career, Early has conceded 98 hits while he has tallied 122 punch outs in 110 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Washington (+106) and under 8.5 runs

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.