New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 5/11/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Monday, May 11, 2026

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-145) Baltimore (+125)

Oriole Park at Camden Yards is the site where the Baltimore Orioles (17-23) will attempt to beat the New York Yankees (26-14) on Monday. The line on this contest has New York at -145 and Baltimore opens at +125. The over/under is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Ryan Weathers and Trevor Rogers.

As a team, the New York Yankees are notching 5.3 runs per outing, which has them at 4th in the league. They have accounted for 212 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .334. The Yankees have hit 68 doubles as a squad and have hit 62 balls out of the park. They have recorded 201 runs batted in in addition to 315 base knocks over the course of the season, and their batting average comes in at .240. New York has a slugging rate of .444 and have struck out 353 times, while being walked on 181 occasions.

Get all of our MLB Betting Picks

They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.88 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.16. Yankees pitchers have yielded 32 home runs in addition to 138 runs (3rd in baseball). New York has conceded 291 base knocks (7.4 per 9 innings) and 123 earned runs. The Yankees have an ERA of 3.12 on the year (1st in MLB), and the staff has struck out 346 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 120 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.50 as a team on the season.

Yankees relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 43 times as well as having 44 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 23 holds on the campaign (13th in MLB). The Yankees bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 58.8% and have stepped onto the mound in 41 save situations. They have compiled 10 saves on the season and have not converted 7 out of their 17 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 68 base runners this year with 27.9% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Yankees have sent 127 relief pitchers to the hill on the year.

The Yankees have converted 71.4% of baseballs in play into outs in their 3,198 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 5th in pro baseball. The New York Yankees have a tally of 1,066 putouts on the year, in addition to 379 assists and 20 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .986 which ranks 16th in baseball, and have a total of 30 double plays.

Weathers has taken the hill for 319 frames and has 280 strikeouts during his MLB career. His ERA is 4.71 (167 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.363. He has allowed 326 base knocks (9.2 hits per 9 innings) and has had 109 free passes. Weathers (14-25 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 4.64 and he has faced 1,370 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

The Baltimore Orioles have earned a team on-base percentage of .319 as well as a team batting average of .233 this season. They have struck out on 368 instances (5th in MLB) and have a total of 309 base knocks. Baltimore has hit 42 home runs so far this season to go along with 176 runs batted in. The Orioles have a slugging percentage of .385 and they earn 4.47 runs per game (12th in the league). They have tallied 68 two-baggers, while walking 162 times and scoring 179 runs.

The Baltimore pitching staff have relinquished 221 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 4.84 (190 earned runs yielded). They have conceded 49 home runs and they give up 5.63 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league). The Orioles are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.473 with a FIP of 4.44 as a staff this year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.50 (332 strikeouts vs 148 walks). They come in at 29th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 372.

Baltimore bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 15.4% of 52 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 40 times in high leverage situations in addition to 37 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 40 save situations, the Orioles have earned 24 holds in addition to 4 blown saves. They are currently ranked 5th in MLB with a save percentage of 73.3%, and they have sent 139 bullpen pitchers to the hill for the season.

The Baltimore Orioles have gotten 32 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (26th in MLB). The Orioles have 340 assists, 26 errors and have accumulated 1,060 putouts during this campaign. In 3,180 innings on the field, the Orioles hold a defensive efficiency of 66.8% (29th in pro baseball).

Rogers (26-40 mark in his career) has a 3.88 ERA while allowing 8.4 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.67 and he has gone up against 2,354 batters in his MLB career. He has surrendered 237 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.309 and a FIP of 3.8. During his career, Rogers has surrendered 515 hits while he has totaled 548 strikeouts in 550 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baltimore (+125)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.