New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 5/12/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-128) Baltimore (+106)

The Baltimore Orioles (18-23) will play the New York Yankees (26-15) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Tuesday. The line on this contest has the Yankees at -128 while the Orioles are sitting at +106. The over/under is 8. The starting pitchers are Will Warren and Trevor Rogers.

New York is slugging .442 and have been called out on strikes 363 times, while taking a walk on 186 occasions. They have accrued 204 RBI's in addition to 321 hits so far this season, while their average at the plate is at .239. The Yankees have recorded 70 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 63 baseballs out of the park. They have notched a total of 215 runs and hold an OBP of .333. As a team, the New York Yankees are putting up 5.2 runs/g, which is 4th in the league.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.84 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.16. Yankees pitchers have relinquished 33 long balls in addition to 142 total runs (4th in baseball). New York has conceded 296 hits (7.3 per 9 innings) as well as 127 earned runs. The Yankees have an earned run average of 3.14 this season (2nd in baseball), and their staff has struck out 358 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 126 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.51 as a team this season.

The Yankees relievers have recorded a save percentage of 58.8% and have stepped onto the mound in 41 save situations. They have 10 saves for the year and have blown 7 of their 17 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 72 base runners on the year with 26.4% of those players earned a run for their team. Yankees pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 45 times in addition to having 48 appearances in high leverage situations. The Yankees have sent 132 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The bullpen have accumulated 23 holds for the year (14th in MLB).

The Yankees have turned 71.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of 3,276 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 5th in pro baseball. The New York Yankees have earned a total of 1,092 putouts thus far, as well as 388 assists and 21 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which puts them in 17th in MLB, and have accumulated 31 double plays.

Warren has pitched in 226 frames and has tallied 253 punch outs in his MLB career. Warren (13-12 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.78 while he has gone up against 995 opposing hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.85 (122 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.397. He has surrendered 230 base knocks (9.2 hits per nine innings) and has 86 free passes.

The Baltimore Orioles are sitting with an on-base percentage of .319 in addition to a batting average of .232 this season. They have struck out on 378 instances (5th in the league) and have accounted for 315 base hits. Baltimore has hit 42 long balls on the season to go along with 178 runs batted in. The Orioles have a team slugging % of .383 and they score 4.41 runs per game (11th in MLB). They have hit 70 doubles, while taking a walk 167 times and scoring 181 runs.

The Orioles hold a team WHIP of 1.458 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.38 as a pitching staff on the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.50 (342 strikeouts against 152 bases on balls). They come in at 28th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 376. They have allowed 49 long balls and they surrender 5.52 runs per 9 innings (28th in MLB). The Baltimore pitching staff have surrendered 222 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.75 (191 earned runs yielded).

They are ranked 5th in baseball holding a save percentage of 75.0%, and they have dispatched 142 relievers onto the diamond so far this season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 42 times in high leverage situations and on 37 occasions with runners on base. With 42 save situations, the Orioles have compiled 25 holds in addition to 4 blown saves. Baltimore has called on relievers to enter the game in 16 save chances and they have walked away with 12 saves. Baltimore relievers have an inherited score percentage of 15.4% of 52 inherited runners.

In their 3,261 innings played, the Orioles hold a efficiency on defense of 67.0% (29th in pro baseball). The Baltimore Orioles have gotten 33 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .982 (28th in the majors). The Orioles have racked up 346 assists, 27 errors and have notched a total of 1,087 putouts on the campaign.

Rogers (26-40 career win-loss record) has earned a 3.88 ERA while giving up 8.4 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.67 and he has gone up against 2,354 hitters in his career. He has conceded a total of 237 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.309 and a FIP of 3.8. In his MLB career, Rogers has surrendered 515 base knocks while he has totaled 548 K's in 550 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baltimore (+106)

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