New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 8/18/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Tuesday, August 18, 2026

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-160) Baltimore (+132)

The New York Yankees (69-55) are en route to Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Tuesday where they will play the Baltimore Orioles (61-63). The line on this matchup has New York at -160 while Baltimore opens at +132. The over/under is set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Will Warren and Shane Baz.

As a unit, the New York Yankees are notching 4.4 runs per game, which has them at 16th in the league. They have notched a total of 551 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .308. The Yankees have accumulated 188 doubles as a team and have knocked 171 balls out of the stadium. They have compiled 525 runs batted in and 940 hits over the course of the season, and their team batting average is at .229. New York has a slugging % of .408 and have struck out 1,135 times, while being walked on 451 occasions.

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The Yankees have a team ERA of 3.26 on the campaign (1st in the league), and they have struck out 1,113 batters. Yankees pitchers have surrendered 122 long balls and 466 total runs (1st in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 380 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.66 as a unit this year. New York has yielded 925 base hits (7.5 per 9 innings) as well as 401 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.93 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.18.

The Yankees have sent 415 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relievers have inherited 217 runners this season and 21.7% of those players crossing the plate. The bullpen have earned 65 holds on the season (17th in baseball). Yankees pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 151 times in addition to having 144 appearances in high leverage situations. They have compiled 35 saves over the course of the season and have blown 22 of their 57 save chances. The Yankees relievers have a save rate of 61.4% and have entered the game in 123 save situations.

The New York Yankees have accounted for 3,323 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,103 assists and 66 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .985 which puts them in 17th in the majors, and they have turned 97 double plays. The Yankees have turned 71.1% of balls in play into outs out of their 9,969 innings, which has them sitting 8th in the majors.

Warren (17-17 record in his career) has a FIP of 4.80 while he has gone up against 1,338 opposing batters during his time in the majors. He has given up 316 hits (9.4 hits per 9 innings) and has 116 walks. His ERA is 4.87 (164 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.426. Warren has thrown 303 frames and has tallied 317 K's so far in his pro baseball career.

The Baltimore Orioles have an on-base percentage of .321 as well as a team batting average of .237 so far this year. They have struck out on 1,140 occasions (4th in MLB) and have a total of 974 base hits. Baltimore has hit 148 home runs so far this season as well as 544 runs batted in. The Orioles have a team slugging percentage of .397 and they are recording 4.54 runs per game (13th in MLB). They have 180 doubles, while taking a walk 480 times as well as earning 563 runs.

The Baltimore pitching staff have relinquished 589 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.21 (516 earned runs relinquished). They have given up 130 homers and they yield 4.81 runs per 9 innings (21st in baseball). The Orioles have a WHIP of 1.349 in addition to having a FIP of 4.06 as a team this season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.00 (980 strikeouts against 415 walks). They come in at 26th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,072.

They are ranked 14th in the league with a save percentage of 66.0%, and they have dispatched 410 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 124 times in high leverage situations and also on 115 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 119 save situations, the Orioles have recorded 67 holds and also 17 blown saves. Baltimore has had relievers enter the contest in 50 save chances and they have earned 33 saves. Baltimore relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 27.6% out of 152 inherited base runners.

The Baltimore Orioles have turned 88 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .982 (26th in pro baseball). The Orioles have racked up 1,066 assists, 80 errors and have 3,308 putouts so far this season. In 9,924 innings on the diamond, the Orioles hold a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (26th in the majors).

Baz (21-29 career record) has earned a 4.17 ERA and has given up 8.3 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.77 and he has gone up against 1,794 batters in his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 197 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.273 and a FIP of 4.1. In his career, Baz has allowed 391 hits while tallying 415 punch outs in 425 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-160)

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