New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 4/23/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Thursday, April 23, 2026

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-182) Boston (+150)

The New York Yankees (14-9) are on their way to Fenway Park on Thursday where they will play the Boston Red Sox (9-14). The odds on this game have New York at -182 while Boston is at +150. The total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Cam Schlittler and Brayan Bello.

New York has a slugging rate of .411 and have been called out on strikes 212 times, while taking a walk on 113 occasions. They have tallied 107 RBI's in addition to 165 hits on the year, and their batting average is .222. The Yankees have accumulated 34 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 33 balls out of the stadium. They have tallied 114 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .326. As a unit, the New York Yankees are earning 5.0 runs per outing, which ranks them 8th in the league.

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The Yankees are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.25 on the season (3rd in MLB), and their staff has struck out 205 batters. Yankees pitchers have given up 18 home runs and 82 total runs (4th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 63 opposing players and their FIP is 3.35 as a team for the season. New York has given up 172 base hits (7.6 per 9 innings) and 74 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 3.25 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.15.

The Yankees have dispatched 76 relievers to the mound so far this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 39 runners so far this season with 30.8% of them crossing the plate. The relief pitchers are sitting with 10 holds on the season (24th in MLB). Yankees pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 27 times in addition to having 27 appearances in high leverage situations. They have 6 saves this year and have not converted 5 of 11 chances to save the game. The Yankees relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 54.5% and stepped onto the hill in 22 save situations.

The Yankees have transformed 70.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 1,842 innings, which has them ranked 13th in pro baseball. The New York Mets have a total of 614 putouts thus far, as well as 205 assists and 12 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986 which puts them in 16th in the majors, and have accumulated 14 double plays.

Schlittler has taken the hill for 100 innings and has accumulated 120 punch outs so far in his MLB career. Schlittler (6-4 career mark) has earned a FIP of 2.65 while he has faced 409 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 2.69 (30 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.098. He has surrendered 76 base knocks (6.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 34 free passes.

The Boston Red Sox have accumulated an on-base percentage of .314 and a batting average of .229 this season. They have been called out on strikes on 202 instances (13th in MLB) and have accounted for 175 hits. Boston is sitting with 13 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 84 runs batted in. The Red Sox hold a slugging percentage of .338 and they have an average of 3.87 runs per game (24th in the league). They have put up 40 doubles, while taking a walk 80 times as well as notching 89 runs.

The Red Sox are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.346 and have a FIP of 4.67 as a unit on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.00 (179 strikeouts against 85 walks). They are currently ranked 18th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 187. They have given up 29 homers and they allow 4.72 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB). The Boston pitching staff have given up 106 runs this season while having an ERA of 4.41 (99 earned runs allowed).

Sitting with 18 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 11 holds in addition to 3 blown saves. Boston has had relievers take the mound in 7 save opportunities and they have converted 4 saves. Boston relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.1% out of 32 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 23 times in high leverage situations and also on 21 occasions with runners on. They are currently ranked 19th in baseball holding a save percentage of 57.1%, and they have sent 73 relievers to the hill this year.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 16 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .983 (20th in MLB). The Red Sox have recorded 227 assists, 14 errors and have 607 putouts for the season. Out of their 1,821 innings on the field, the Red Sox have a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (12th in MLB).

Bello (40-38 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.18 earned run average while allowing 9.1 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.30 and he has gone up against 2,430 hitters during his MLB career. He has allowed a total of 261 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.381 and having a FIP of 4.1. In his pro baseball career, Bello has surrendered 568 hits while tallying 477 K's in 561 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-182)

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