New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 6/25/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Thursday, June 25, 2026

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-144) Boston (+120)

Fenway Park is the location where the Boston Red Sox (32-45) will take on the New York Yankees (47-31) on Thursday. The moneyline on this contest has the Yankees at -144 and the Red Sox are priced at +120. The total comes in at 8. The men taking the mound are Cam Schlittler and Connelly Early.

The Yankees have hit 123 doubles as a squad and have smacked 116 balls out of the park. New York has a slugging percentage of .437 and have struck out 682 times, while being walked on 326 occasions. As a team, the New York Yankees are scoring 5.1 runs per outing, which ranks them 4th in baseball. They have 379 RBI's in addition to 636 base knocks this season, while their team batting average is .245. They have accounted for 396 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .330.

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The Yankees have a team ERA of 3.37 for the year (2nd in MLB), and the staff has struck out 678 batters. Yankees pitchers have given up 70 home runs and 285 total runs (3rd in baseball). They have walked 238 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.62 as a team on the season. New York has surrendered 582 hits (7.6 per 9 innings) and 259 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.85 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.18.

The Yankees bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 61.3% and have stepped onto the mound in 70 save situations. They have accumulated 19 saves this season and have not converted 12 of their 31 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 135 base runners so far this year and 25.9% of those players earned a run for their team. Yankees bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 87 times in addition to having 92 appearances in high leverage situations. The Yankees have dispatched 253 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The relievers have notched 38 holds so far this year (17th in MLB).

The Yankees have turned 71.1% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,231 innings on the field, which has them sitting 5th in pro baseball. The New York Yankees have accumulated 2,077 putouts on the year, in addition to 695 assists and 38 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .986 which has them ranked 16th in the majors, and have earned 55 double plays.

Schlittler has pitched in 168 innings and has totaled 193 punch outs so far in his career. His earned run average is 2.25 (42 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.036. He has given up 125 base hits (6.7 hits per nine innings) with 49 free passes. Schlittler (12-6 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 2.22 while going up against 673 opposing batters in the majors.

Boston has recorded 65 HRs so far this year and 288 RBIs. They have hit 135 doubles, while walking 227 times as well as earning 301 runs. The Boston Red Sox hold an on-base percentage of .312 and a team batting average of .243 on the year. The Red Sox hold a team slugging % of .381 and they have an average of 3.91 runs per contest (29th in MLB). They have been rung up on 634 occasions (22nd in the league) and have accounted for 628 base knocks.

The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.262 in addition to having a FIP of 3.96 as a team for the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.60 (647 strikeouts vs 228 bases on balls). They rank 13th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 628. They have allowed 84 HR's and they give up 4.06 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league). The Boston pitching staff have relinquished 306 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.82 (288 earned runs yielded).

Sitting with 60 save situations, the Red Sox have recorded 37 holds and also 7 blown saves. Boston has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 22 save opportunities and they have walked away with 15 saves. Boston relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.5% of 89 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 63 times in high leverage situations and on 60 occasions with runners on base. They sit at 10th in baseball holding a save rate of 68.2%, and they have sent 233 relief pitchers to the hill on the season.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 47 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (14th in the majors). The Red Sox have accrued 646 assists, 36 errors and have notched a total of 2,035 putouts on the campaign. Out of their 6,105 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (19th in MLB).

Thus far in his career, Early has surrendered 90 base knocks while totaling 108 strikeouts in 100 frames. He has allowed 38 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.246 and having a FIP of 3.4. His K/BB ratio is 3.09 and he has faced 430 batters during his MLB career. Early (7-7 record in his career) has a 3.41 earned run average and has surrendered 8.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (+120)

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