New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 6/26/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Friday, June 26, 2026

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-160) Boston (+132)

The New York Yankees (48-31) are traveling to Fenway Park on Friday where they will compete against the Boston Red Sox (32-46). The odds on this game have New York at -160 and Boston is at +132. The over/under is set at 9. The men taking the mound will be Will Warren and Payton Tolle.

New York is slugging .437 and have been rung up 695 times, while being walked on 326 occasions. They have compiled 383 runs batted in as well as 642 hits so far this season, while their average at the plate is at .244. The Yankees have accounted for 124 doubles as a team and have smacked 119 baseballs out of the park. They have earned a total of 400 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .329. As a unit, the New York Yankees are scoring 5.1 runs per game, which is 4th in the league.

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The Yankees have an ERA of 3.34 this year (1st in the league), and the staff has struck out 689 hitters. Yankees pitchers have surrendered 70 long balls and 287 runs in total (3rd in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 241 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.59 as a unit on the season. New York has conceded 590 hits (7.6 per 9 innings) and 260 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.86 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.19.

The Yankees relievers have earned a save percentage of 62.5% and have entered the game in 73 save situations. They have 20 saves this season and have not converted 12 out of their 32 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 136 base runners this year with 25.7% of them ended up crossing the plate. Yankees bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 88 times in addition to having 94 appearances in high leverage situations. The Yankees have dispatched 256 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The relievers have accumulated 40 holds for the season (17th in MLB).

The Yankees have converted 71.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,312 innings on the field, ranking them 6th in professional baseball. The New York Yankees have notched a total of 2,104 putouts thus far, as well as 701 assists and 39 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which puts them in 15th in the majors, and have earned 55 double plays.

Warren has taken the mound for 263 innings and has 284 K's so far in his pro baseball career. Warren (16-13 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 4.58 while going up against 1,161 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.65 (136 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.406. He has surrendered 269 base knocks (9.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 101 free passes.

Boston is sitting with 67 HRs for the year to go along with 294 runs batted in. They have 140 doubles, while walking 228 times and scoring 307 runs. The Boston Red Sox are sitting with an on-base percentage of .312 and a batting average of .244 this season. The Red Sox have a slugging percentage of .385 and they average 3.94 runs per game (29th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 642 occasions (23rd in baseball) and have 639 hits.

The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.269 with a FIP of 3.93 as a squad on the season. They sit at 15th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 642. The Boston pitching staff have given up 314 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 3.82 (291 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.60 (658 strikeouts vs 229 free passes). They have surrendered 84 dingers and they surrender 4.12 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league).

Sitting with 62 save situations, the Red Sox have tallied 38 holds in addition to 8 blown saves. Boston has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 23 save chances and they have come away with 15 saves. Boston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.9% out of 91 inherited runners. Their relievers have taken the field 65 times in high leverage situations and on 61 occasions with runners on base. They rank 14th in MLB with a save percentage of 65.2%, and they have sent 236 relief pitchers onto the diamond so far this season.

In 6,177 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 69.4% (20th in the majors). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 47 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (16th in the majors). The Red Sox have racked up 651 assists, 38 errors and have accumulated 2,059 putouts on the season.

Tolle (3-6 career record) has earned a 3.70 earned run average while giving up 7.9 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.12 and he has gone up against 335 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered 33 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.197 and a FIP of 3.6. During his MLB career, Tolle has allowed 70 hits and he has 81 strikeouts in 80 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (+132)

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