New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 6/27/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, June 27, 2026

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-196) Boston (+162)

The New York Yankees (48-32) are traveling to Fenway Park on Saturday where they will go up against the Boston Red Sox (33-46). The odds on this game have New York at -196 and Boston is priced at +162. The over/under comes in at 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Gerrit Cole and Jake Bennett.

The Yankees have recorded 125 two-baggers as a team and have hit 120 balls out of the park. New York has a slugging percentage of .436 and have been called out on strikes 705 times, while taking a walk on 329 occasions. As a squad, the New York Yankees are knocking in 5.0 runs per game, which puts them at 5th in the league. They have amassed 386 runs batted in and 650 hits on the campaign, while their batting average sits at .244. They have earned a total of 403 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .329.

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The Yankees hold a team earned run average of 3.30 for the season (1st in the league), and they have rung up 699 batters. Yankees pitchers have given up 71 home runs in addition to 293 runs in total (4th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 244 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.60 as a squad on the campaign. New York has given up 597 hits (7.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 260 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.86 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.19.

The Yankees relievers have earned a save rate of 62.5% and have entered the game in 73 save situations. They have 20 saves this year and have blown 12 of their 32 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 139 base runners this year with 26.6% of those players crossing home plate. Yankees pitchers have come into the game with runners on 89 times as well as having 94 appearances in high leverage situations. The Yankees have sent 260 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relievers have tallied 40 holds on the season (18th in baseball).

The New York Yankees have amassed 2,128 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 708 assists and 43 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which puts them in 19th in MLB, and have 55 double plays. The Yankees have converted 70.9% of balls in play into outs out of their 6,384 innings, which has them sitting 7th in baseball.

Cole has pitched in 1,986 frames and has totaled 2,280 punch outs during his pro baseball career. Cole (155-82 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.14 and he has gone up against 7,997 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.19 (703 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.090. He has allowed 1,656 hits (7.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 509 walks.

Boston has compiled 68 long balls on the campaign to go along with 299 RBIs. They have recorded 141 doubles, while taking a walk 231 times and scoring 313 runs. The Boston Red Sox have recorded an on-base percentage of .313 and a team batting average of .244 for the year. The Red Sox hold a team slugging % of .384 and they earn 3.96 runs per game (28th in baseball). They have been rung up on 652 occasions (21st in MLB) and have totaled 646 base hits.

The Boston pitching staff have conceded 317 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.81 (294 earned runs yielded). They have allowed 85 dingers and they concede 4.10 runs per 9 innings (7th in MLB). The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.269 and have a FIP of 3.92 as a staff so far this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (668 strikeouts against 232 walks). They are sitting at 15th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 650.

Boston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 31.5% out of 92 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 67 times in high leverage situations in addition to 62 occasions with base runners. With 66 save situations, the Red Sox have compiled 41 holds in addition to 8 blown saves. They are ranked 13th in the league with a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 240 relievers to the hill this year.

In their 6,258 innings on the field, the Red Sox have a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (20th in MLB). The Boston Red Sox have turned 47 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .986 (15th in the majors). The Red Sox have recorded 660 assists, 38 errors and have amassed 2,086 putouts for the year.

Bennett (1-3 win-loss mark in his career) has a 3.78 earned run average and has conceded 8.6 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.40 and he has faced 106 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered a total of 11 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.145 and a FIP of 3.7. In his career, Bennett has allowed 25 base knocks while totaling 22 punch outs in 26 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (+162)

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