New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 7/31/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Friday, July 31, 2026

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-144) Chicago (+120)

The New York Yankees (61-47) are traveling to Wrigley Field on Friday where they will compete against the Chicago Cubs (61-47). The line on this contest has New York at -144 and Chicago is priced at +120. The over/under comes in at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Will Warren and Shota Imanaga.

New York has a slugging % of .415 and have struck out 984 times, while drawing a walk on 398 occasions. They have accrued 480 RBI's in addition to 838 base knocks for the season, and their batting average is .234. The Yankees have recorded 163 doubles as a team and have smacked 153 balls out of the stadium. They have earned a total of 505 runs and have an on-base percentage of .312. As a team, the New York Yankees are notching 4.7 runs per game, which has them sitting at 10th in the league.

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The Yankees are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.40 this year (1st in baseball), and they have struck out 963 batters. Yankees pitchers have allowed 106 home runs and 417 runs in total (4th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 325 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.69 as a squad over the course of the season. New York has given up 813 base knocks (7.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 363 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.96 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.18.

Yankees relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 129 times as well as having 123 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 56 holds on the year (18th in the league). The Yankees relief pitchers have a save percentage of 60.4% and have entered the game in 105 save situations. They have tallied 29 saves so far this year and have not converted 19 of 48 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 187 runners on the season and 23.5% of those players earned a run for their team. The Yankees have sent 363 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year.

The Yankees have turned 70.9% of balls in play into outs out of 8,658 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 7th in professional baseball. The New York Yankees are sitting with 2,886 putouts on the campaign, as well as 942 assists and 62 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .984 which is 20th in MLB, and have 77 double plays.

Warren (16-16 career record) sits with a FIP of 4.82 while he has faced 1,271 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. He has given up 299 hits (9.4 hits per 9 innings) with 111 walks. His earned run average is 4.89 (156 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.429. Warren has taken the ball for 287 innings and has tallied 302 strikeouts in his MLB career.

The Chicago Cubs have tallied a team on-base percentage of .340 and a batting average of .248 on the season. They have been rung up on 931 occasions (12th in the league) and have 922 base hits. Chicago has a total of 134 long balls over the course of the season as well as 526 runs batted in. The Cubs hold a team slugging % of .415 and they are recording 5.19 runs per contest (2nd in baseball). They have notched 179 doubles, while walking 469 times and racking up 560 runs.

The Chicago pitching staff have conceded 473 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 4.18 (447 earned runs yielded). They have allowed 161 dingers and they surrender 4.42 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB). The Cubs have a team WHIP of 1.265 with a FIP of 4.70 as a staff this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 7.80 (837 strikeouts vs 327 walks). They rank 19th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 890.

They are currently ranked 26th in the league with a save rate of 55.0%, and they have sent 352 relievers onto the field this season. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 106 times in high leverage situations and on 108 occasions with runners on. With 84 save situations, the Cubs have tallied 38 holds in addition to 18 blown saves. Chicago has had relievers enter the game in 40 save chances and they have earned 22 saves. Chicago relievers hold an inherited score rate of 31.8% out of their 154 inherited base runners.

In their 8,664 innings played, the Cubs hold a efficiency on defense of 71.8% (3rd in MLB). The Chicago Cubs have turned 81 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .990 (2nd in baseball). The Cubs have recorded 999 assists, 41 errors and have 2,888 putouts so far this season.

In his MLB career, Imanaga has given up 370 base knocks while earning 404 K's in 439 innings pitched. Imanaga (31-19 mark in his career) holds a 3.40 earned run average and has given up 7.6 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered a total of 166 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.032 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.87 and he has gone up against 1,748 batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-144)

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