New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 8/1/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Saturday, August 1, 2026

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-122) Chicago (+102)

The Chicago Cubs (62-47) will try to beat the New York Yankees (61-48) at Wrigley Field on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has New York at -122 and Chicago opens at +102. The betting total comes in at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Max Fried and David Peterson.

As a team, the New York Yankees are earning 4.6 runs per game, which ranks them 10th in MLB. They have accumulated 506 runs while having a team OBP of .312. The Yankees have tallied 165 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 153 balls out of the stadium. They have accumulated 481 runs batted in in addition to 845 hits on the year, and their batting average comes in at .233. New York has a slugging percentage of .413 and have struck out 996 times, while taking a walk on 402 occasions.

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The Yankees are sitting with a team ERA of 3.31 this season (1st in MLB), and the staff has rung up 974 hitters. Yankees pitchers have conceded 106 home runs and 419 total runs (4th in baseball). They have walked 331 hitters and their FIP sits at 3.68 as a squad on the season. New York has given up 819 base hits (7.6 per 9 innings) as well as 358 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.94 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.18.

The Yankees relievers have recorded a save percentage of 60.4% and have entered the game in 105 save situations. They have accumulated 29 saves on the campaign and have blown 19 of 48 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 189 runners for the season with 23.3% of those runners ended up scoring. Yankees bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 130 times and also have had 126 appearances in high leverage situations. The Yankees have sent 366 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. The relievers are sitting with 56 holds on the season (18th in baseball).

The Yankees have converted 70.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 8,754 innings on the diamond, ranking them 7th in MLB. The New York Yankees have a tally of 2,918 putouts so far this season, as well as 955 assists and 61 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .984 which ranks 19th in pro baseball, and have a total of 79 double plays.

Fried has taken the mound for 1,148 innings and has earned 1,113 punch outs thus far in his career. Fried (96-44 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.00 and he has gone up against 4,686 opposing batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.05 (389 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.145. He has conceded 996 hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 319 walks.

Chicago has accumulated 134 HRs over the course of the season as well as 529 runs batted in. They have put up 184 doubles, while getting a free base 473 times as well as recording 564 runs. The Chicago Cubs have tallied a team on-base percentage of .340 and a batting average of .249 so far this season. The Cubs hold a slugging percentage of .415 and they are scoring 5.17 runs per game (2nd in baseball). They have struck out on 936 instances (12th in MLB) and have 933 base hits.

The Cubs have a WHIP of 1.265 with a FIP of 4.67 as a staff on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 7.80 (846 strikeouts vs 330 walks). They are currently ranked 20th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 900. They have allowed 162 homers and they relinquish 4.40 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). The Chicago pitching staff have allowed 475 runs this year while holding an ERA of 4.16 (449 earned runs relinquished).

Chicago relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 31.4% out of 156 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 111 times in high leverage situations and on 110 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 86 save situations, the Cubs have recorded 38 holds and also 19 blown saves. They rank 26th in the league holding a save rate of 54.8%, and they have dispatched 357 relief pitchers to the hill for the year.

Out of their 8,754 innings on the field, the Cubs have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.8% (3rd in professional baseball). The Chicago Cubs have gotten 82 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .990 (2nd in the majors). The Cubs have 1,010 assists, 41 errors and have notched a total of 2,918 putouts on the season.

Peterson (40-31 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 4.16 earned run average and has surrendered 8.5 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.31 and he has gone up against 2,780 batters in his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 300 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.368 and having a FIP of 4.1. In his pro baseball career, Peterson has surrendered 615 base hits while he has earned 628 K's in 648 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Chicago (+102)

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