New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 8/2/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Sunday, August 2, 2026

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-128) Chicago (+106)

The Chicago Cubs (62-47) will go up against the New York Yankees (61-48) at Wrigley Field on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Yankees at -128 while the Cubs are opening at +106. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Gerrit Cole and Colin Rea.

New York has a slugging % of .413 and have struck out 996 times, while taking a walk on 402 occasions. They have accounted for 481 runs batted in as well as 845 hits on the year, and their average at the plate is at .233. The Yankees have earned 165 two-baggers as a team and have hit 153 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 506 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .312. As a team, the New York Yankees are knocking in 4.6 runs per game, which is 10th in the league.

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The Yankees have an earned run average of 3.31 for the season (1st in MLB), and their staff has rung up 974 hitters. Yankees pitchers have surrendered 106 home runs and 419 runs (4th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 331 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.68 as a squad on the season. New York has yielded 819 base knocks (7.6 per 9 innings) and also 358 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.94 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.18.

The Yankees have sent 366 relievers to the mound so far this year. The relievers have inherited 189 runners on the season with 23.3% of them crossing the plate. The relief pitchers have earned 56 holds on the campaign (18th in the league). Yankees pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 130 times and also have had 126 appearances in high leverage situations. They have recorded 29 saves on the season and have not converted 19 of 48 save opportunities. The Yankees relievers have earned a save percentage of 60.4% and have entered the game in 105 save situations.

The Yankees have converted 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 8,754 innings on the diamond, ranking them 7th in the majors. The New York Yankees have earned 2,918 putouts so far this season, in addition to 955 assists and 61 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .984 which has them sitting 19th in pro baseball, and have a total of 79 double plays.

Cole has thrown 2,022 innings and has earned 2,324 punch outs thus far in his career. Cole (157-85 mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.14 and he has gone up against 8,140 batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.19 (717 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.089. He has surrendered 1,687 base hits (7.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 514 free passes.

The Cubs hold a slugging percentage of .415 and they average 5.17 runs per outing (2nd in baseball). They have hit 184 two-baggers, while getting a free base 473 times and putting up 564 runs. Chicago is sitting with 134 home runs on the campaign to go along with 529 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 936 instances (12th in the league) and have accounted for 933 base hits. The Chicago Cubs have an OBP of .340 as well as a batting average of .249 on the campaign.

The Cubs have a team WHIP of 1.265 and have a FIP of 4.67 as a unit so far this year. They are sitting at 20th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 900. The Chicago pitching staff have allowed 475 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.16 (449 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 7.80 (846 strikeouts vs 330 free passes). They have conceded 162 homers and they surrender 4.40 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB).

Chicago relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.4% out of their 156 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 111 times in high leverage situations in addition to 110 occasions with base runners. With 86 save situations, the Cubs have 38 holds in addition to 19 blown saves. They are ranked 26th in MLB holding a save percentage of 54.8%, and they have dispatched 357 relief pitchers to the hill for the year.

The Chicago Cubs have gotten 82 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .990 (2nd in pro baseball). The Cubs have recorded 1,010 assists, 41 errors and have 2,918 putouts on the season. Out of their 8,754 innings on the diamond, the Cubs have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.8% (3rd in professional baseball).

In his MLB career, Rea has conceded 703 base knocks and he has 576 strikeouts in 717 innings. Rea (45-34 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.45 earned run average and has surrendered 8.8 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 355 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.290 and a FIP of 4.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.59 and he has gone up against 3,052 batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-128)

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