New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox Prediction, 7/28/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox

Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2026

Location: Rate Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Chicago Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-160) Chicago (+132)

The New York Yankees (59-46) are en route to Rate Field on Tuesday where they will try to beat the Chicago White Sox (55-49). The line on this matchup has the Yankees at -160 and the White Sox are priced at +132. The over/under is 9. The starting pitchers are Gerrit Cole and Anthony Kay.

New York has a slugging rate of .418 and have been called out on strikes 953 times, while taking a walk on 388 occasions. They have 464 runs batted in as well as 813 hits so far this year, while their batting average sits at .234. The Yankees have tallied 157 two-baggers as a team and have hit 151 balls out of the park. They have earned 488 runs scored and hold an OBP of .313. As a team, the New York Yankees are putting up 4.7 runs per game, which is 10th in baseball.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.96 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.19. Yankees pitchers have relinquished 103 home runs and also 404 total runs (4th in the league). New York has surrendered 790 base knocks (7.6 per 9 innings) as well as 353 earned runs. The Yankees have an earned run average of 3.41 over the course of the season (1st in the league), and their staff has rung up 932 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 315 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.70 as a team so far this season.

The Yankees have sent 348 relievers to the hill on the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 181 runners over the course of the season with 23.8% of those runners ended up scoring. The bullpen have 53 holds for the year (19th in the league). Yankees relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 122 times and also have had 118 appearances in high leverage situations. They have accumulated 27 saves so far this year and have blown 16 of their 43 save chances. The Yankees relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 62.8% and have entered the game in 97 save situations.

The Yankees have converted 70.9% of balls in play into outs out of 8,394 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 8th in MLB. The New York Yankees have amassed 2,798 putouts so far this season, in addition to 911 assists and 59 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .984 which has them ranked 20th in baseball, and have accumulated 76 double plays.

Cole (156-85 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.15 while he has gone up against 8,116 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has conceded 1,683 hits (7.5 hits per nine innings) with 512 walks. His earned run average is 3.20 (717 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.089. Cole has thrown 2,016 innings and is sitting with 2,317 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

The Chicago White Sox are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .318 as well as a batting average of .240 over the course of the season. They have been rung up on 930 occasions (7th in the league) and have accounted for 834 base hits. Chicago has accounted for 136 home runs for the year as well as 481 runs batted in. The White Sox have a team SLG% of .410 and they average 4.82 runs per game (7th in the league). They have hit 161 doubles, while walking 351 times as well as scoring 501 runs.

The White Sox have a WHIP of 1.309 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.25 as a unit over the course of the season. They rank 8th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 821. The Chicago pitching staff have conceded 455 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 4.10 (420 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (881 strikeouts vs 385 bases on balls). They have surrendered 113 long balls and they allow 4.45 runs per 9 innings (10th in baseball).

Chicago relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 32.1% out of their 165 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 102 times in high leverage situations and also on 110 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 87 save situations, the White Sox have amassed 39 holds and also 20 blown saves. They sit at 22nd in baseball with a save rate of 58.3%, and they have dispatched 350 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond so far this season.

In 8,289 innings played, the White Sox are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (12th in MLB). The Chicago White Sox have turned 74 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .986 (14th in professional baseball). The White Sox have racked up 857 assists, 52 errors and have a tally of 2,763 putouts on the campaign.

Kay (11-6 career win-loss record) has a 4.86 ERA while allowing 9.1 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 1.93 and he has faced 837 opposing hitters so far in his career. He has given up a total of 99 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.485 and a FIP of 4.8. So far in his MLB career, Kay has surrendered 185 hits and he has 168 strikeouts in 183 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-160)

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