New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 6/10/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Wednesday, June 10, 2026

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-128) Cleveland (+106)

Progressive Field is the location where the Cleveland Guardians (37-30) will meet the New York Yankees (38-26) on Wednesday. The odds on this game have the Yankees at -128 while the Guardians are at +106. The over/under is set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Carlos Rodon and Parker Messick.

The Yankees have earned 106 two-baggers as a team and have hit 93 balls out of the park. New York has a slugging percentage of .434 and have been called out on strikes 556 times, while drawing a walk on 271 occasions. As a squad, the New York Yankees are earning 5.1 runs per game, which has them sitting at 5th in the league. They have compiled 310 RBI's as well as 510 hits this season, and their batting average sits at .242. They have notched a total of 324 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .329.

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The Yankees hold a team earned run average of 3.27 for the year (4th in the league), and the staff has struck out 545 hitters. Yankees pitchers have allowed 55 home runs in addition to 228 total runs (4th in baseball). They have walked 192 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.59 as a team on the year. New York has relinquished 467 hits (7.4 per 9 innings) and 206 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.84 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.16.

Yankees pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 71 times in addition to having 72 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 35 holds over the course of the season (14th in baseball). The Yankees relief pitchers have a save rate of 60.0% and have come into the game in 61 save situations. They have recorded 15 saves so far this year and have missed out on 10 of their 25 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 112 runners this year and 26.8% of them crossing home plate. The Yankees have dispatched 204 relievers to the mound this year.

The Yankees have converted 71.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 5,106 innings, which has them sitting at 4th in baseball. The New York Yankees have a total of 1,702 putouts so far this season, as well as 582 assists and 28 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .988 which ranks 11th in baseball, and have accumulated 44 double plays.

Rodon has pitched in 1,307 innings and has tallied 1,436 punch outs during his MLB career. Rodon (94-74 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.66 and he has faced 5,482 opposing batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.72 (540 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.218. He has conceded 1,099 base hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) and has 493 free passes.

The Guardians hold a team SLG% of .374 and they have an average of 4.06 runs per contest (24th in MLB). They have notched 112 two-baggers, while walking 260 times and racking up 272 runs. Cleveland has a total of 63 home runs so far this year to go along with 261 RBIs. They have been rung up on 514 occasions (24th in baseball) and have earned 507 base hits. The Cleveland Guardians have compiled a team OBP of .316 and a team batting average of .231 on the campaign.

The Guardians are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.258 and have a FIP of 3.94 as a pitching staff so far this year. They have a ranking of 15th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 527. The Cleveland pitching staff have relinquished 271 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 3.77 (248 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio is 9.30 (613 strikeouts against 218 free passes). They have surrendered 77 homers and they relinquish 4.12 runs per 9 innings (8th in MLB).

Sitting with 88 save situations, the Guardians have recorded 58 holds and also 5 blown saves. Cleveland has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 29 save chances and they have walked away with 24 saves. Cleveland relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.2% out of 92 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 78 times in high leverage situations in addition to 59 occasions with runners on. They are ranked 2nd in the league with a save rate of 82.8%, and they have sent 216 relief pitchers onto the diamond this season.

The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 50 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .988 (8th in pro baseball). The Guardians have recorded 514 assists, 27 errors and have earned 1,777 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 5,331 innings played, the Guardians are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 70.0% (16th in baseball).

Messick (9-3 career mark) holds a 2.52 earned run average while allowing 8.2 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.14 and he has gone up against 460 opposing batters during his MLB career. He has surrendered 32 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.156 and having a FIP of 2.5. So far in his MLB career, Messick has allowed 104 base knocks and he has 116 K's in 114 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cleveland (+106)

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