New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 9/14/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Monday, September 14, 2026

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Twins.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-128) Minnesota (+106)

The Minnesota Twins (70-78) will compete against the New York Yankees (85-63) at Target Field on Monday. The line on this matchup has New York at -128 and Minnesota is coming in at +106. The over/under is set at 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Will Warren and Bailey Ober.

As a unit, the New York Yankees are earning 4.6 runs per game, which ranks them 10th in the league. They have 675 runs scored and hold an OBP of .312. The Yankees have recorded 212 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 202 baseballs out of the park. They have accrued 644 runs batted in in addition to 1,150 hits on the campaign, while their team batting average sits at .235. New York has a slugging rate of .409 and have been rung up 1,353 times, while being walked on 529 occasions.

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The Yankees hold a team earned run average of 3.26 on the campaign (1st in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,329 hitters. Yankees pitchers have surrendered 154 home runs in addition to 552 total runs (1st in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 446 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.74 as a squad over the course of the season. New York has surrendered 1,100 hits (7.5 per 9 innings) in addition to 479 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.98 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.17.

The Yankees have sent 490 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 251 runners on the campaign with 21.1% of them ended up scoring. The relievers are sitting with 84 holds this year (11th in MLB). Yankees pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 175 times and also have had 166 appearances in high leverage situations. They have accumulated 42 saves this year and have blown 27 of their 69 chances to save the game. The Yankees relievers have accumulated a save rate of 60.9% and stepped onto the hill in 156 save situations.

The Yankees have turned 71.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of 11,907 innings, ranking them 6th in MLB. The New York Yankees have amassed 3,969 putouts thus far, as well as 1,279 assists and 86 errors. Their fielding rate is at .984 which ranks 20th in MLB, and have a total of 110 double plays.

Warren has taken the hill for 327 innings and has tallied 341 K's in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.68 (170 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.406. He has surrendered 336 hits (9.2 hits per 9 innings) with 124 walks. Warren (19-17 record in his career) holds a FIP of 4.61 and he has gone up against 1,438 batters in the major leagues.

The Twins hold a team SLG% of .405 and they score 4.60 runs per outing (9th in the league). They have hit 241 two-baggers, while taking a walk 475 times and notching 681 runs. Minnesota has knocked in 173 HRs on the season as well as 651 RBIs. They have been rung up on 1,177 occasions (24th in the league) and have earned 1,217 base knocks. The Minnesota Twins have a team OBP of .319 as well as a batting average of .244 so far this season.

The Minnesota pitching staff have surrendered 736 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 4.66 (675 earned runs surrendered). They have yielded 170 homers and they concede 5.08 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league). The Twins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.373 and have a FIP of 4.28 as a staff so far this season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.60 (1,242 strikeouts against 539 walks). They rank 21st in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,252.

They are ranked 9th in baseball with a save rate of 70.7%, and they have dispatched 489 bullpen pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. Their relievers have taken the field 156 times in high leverage situations and on 145 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 158 save situations, the Twins have amassed 96 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. Minnesota has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 58 save chances and they have walked away with 41 saves. Minnesota relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 36.7% out of their 210 inherited runners.

In 11,742 innings played, the Twins have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (20th in baseball). The Minnesota Twins have gotten 99 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in the majors). The Twins have recorded 1,127 assists, 67 errors and have 3,914 putouts this season.

During his career, Ober has conceded 673 base knocks while tallying 689 K's in 734 innings. Ober (38-35 career record) has earned a 4.12 earned run average and has conceded 8.2 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 336 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.144 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.13 and he has gone up against 3,014 hitters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Minnesota (+106)

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