New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 9/15/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Tuesday, September 15, 2026

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Twins.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-196) Minnesota (+162)

The Minnesota Twins (70-79) will try to beat the New York Yankees (86-63) at Target Field on Tuesday. The moneyline on this game has the Yankees at -196 and the Twins are sitting at +162. The over/under comes in at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Max Fried and Bailey Ober.

New York has a slugging percentage of .409 and have been rung up 1,362 times, while taking a walk on 533 occasions. They have compiled 646 runs batted in and 1,153 hits so far this year, and their batting average sits at .235. The Yankees have tallied 212 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 204 baseballs out of the park. They are sitting with 677 runs while holding a team OBP of .312. As a squad, the New York Yankees are notching 4.5 runs per game, which ranks them 12th in the league.

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The Yankees have a team ERA of 3.24 so far this year (1st in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,339 hitters. Yankees pitchers have surrendered 154 home runs and 552 total runs (1st in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 448 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.73 as a unit on the season. New York has yielded 1,103 base hits (7.5 per 9 innings) and 479 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.99 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.16.

The Yankees have sent 493 relievers to the hill on the season. The relievers have inherited 251 base runners so far this year and 21.1% of those players crossing home plate. The relief pitchers have a total of 86 holds on the season (10th in MLB). Yankees pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 175 times as well as having 167 appearances in high leverage situations. They have recorded 43 saves for the year and have missed out on 27 of their 70 save opportunities. The Yankees relievers have a save percentage of 61.4% and have stepped onto the mound in 159 save situations.

The Yankees have transformed 71.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,988 innings on the field, which has them ranked 5th in baseball. The New York Yankees have amassed 3,996 putouts this year, as well as 1,286 assists and 86 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .984 which has them sitting 20th in MLB, and they have turned 110 double plays.

Fried has taken the mound for 1,178 innings and has accounted for 1,146 K's during his pro baseball career. Fried (96-45 career mark) has earned a FIP of 2.96 and he has faced 4,797 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.01 (394 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.139. He has surrendered 1,014 base knocks (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 328 free passes.

The Minnesota Twins are sitting with an on-base percentage of .318 and a batting average of .244 so far this season. They have been called out on strikes on 1,188 occasions (24th in MLB) and are sitting with 1,223 base hits. Minnesota has hit 174 home runs on the year to go along with 653 runs batted in. The Twins have a SLG% of .405 and they are scoring 4.58 runs per contest (9th in the league). They have recorded 243 doubles, while taking a walk 477 times as well as putting up 683 runs.

The Twins have a team WHIP of 1.378 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.31 as a squad on the season. They rank 22nd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,266. The Minnesota pitching staff have surrendered 745 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 4.69 (684 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.50 (1,246 strikeouts against 543 walks). They have given up 173 long balls and they allow 5.11 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league).

Minnesota relievers hold an inherited score rate of 37.3% out of 212 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 156 times in high leverage situations and also on 146 occasions with runners on base. With 158 save situations, the Twins have earned 96 holds and also 17 blown saves. They are ranked 9th in the league with a save percentage of 70.7%, and they have sent 492 relief pitchers to the mound this season.

The Minnesota Twins have turned 101 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in the majors). The Twins have racked up 1,135 assists, 68 errors and have earned 3,941 putouts for the season. In their 11,823 innings on the diamond, the Twins have a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (24th in baseball).

Ober (38-35 career mark) has a 4.12 ERA and has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.13 and he has gone up against 3,014 batters during his MLB career. He has surrendered 336 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.144 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. Thus far in his career, Ober has surrendered 673 hits while totaling 689 strikeouts in 734 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-196)

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