New York Yankees vs New York Mets Prediction, 5/15/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs New York Mets

Date: Friday, May 15, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-128) New York (+106)

Citi Field is the location where the New York Mets (18-25) will try to beat the New York Yankees (27-17) on Friday. The odds on this game have New York at -128 and New York is sitting at +106. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Cam Schlittler and Clay Holmes.

New York has a slugging percentage of .433 and have struck out 386 times, while taking a walk on 200 occasions. They have recorded 212 RBI's as well as 336 hits on the campaign, and their batting average sits at .234. The Yankees have accounted for 73 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 66 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 223 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .330. As a team, the New York Yankees are putting up 5.1 runs per contest, which ranks them 4th in baseball.

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The Yankees have an ERA of 3.22 this season (2nd in MLB), and their staff has rung up 384 hitters. Yankees pitchers have conceded 35 home runs and 154 runs (4th in baseball). They have walked 133 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.46 as a unit this season. New York has allowed 316 base hits (7.3 per 9 innings) and also 139 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.89 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.15.

The Yankees have dispatched 140 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 78 runners this season with 28.2% of those runners earned a run for their team. The relievers have a total of 24 holds on the campaign (15th in MLB). Yankees relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 49 times in addition to having 50 appearances in high leverage situations. They have recorded 10 saves on the year and have blown 8 of their 18 chances to save the game. The Yankees relief pitchers have a save rate of 55.6% and stepped onto the hill in 43 save situations.

The Yankees have converted 71.3% of balls in play into outs in their 3,501 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 6th in baseball. The New York Yankees have notched a total of 1,167 putouts thus far, in addition to 413 assists and 24 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which ranks 22nd in pro baseball, and have accumulated 33 double plays.

Schlittler (9-4 career record) has earned a FIP of 2.25 while going up against 506 hitters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 92 base knocks (6.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 40 walks. His earned run average is 2.28 (32 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.047. Schlittler has taken the hill for 126 innings and has tallied 143 punch outs in his MLB career.

The New York Mets have an on-base percentage of .290 and a team batting average of .225 this year. They have struck out on 329 instances (27th in the league) and are sitting with 315 hits. New York has compiled 31 long balls this season and 144 RBIs. The Mets hold a slugging % of .340 and they are earning 3.62 runs per outing (29th in MLB). They have tallied 56 doubles, while getting a free base 126 times as well as putting up 152 runs.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.265 in addition to having a FIP of 3.50 as a unit so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.50 (397 strikeouts vs 148 walks). They rank 10th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 329. They have conceded 35 homers and they concede 4.15 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB). The New York pitching staff have yielded 174 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 3.75 (157 earned runs surrendered).

Sitting with 23 save situations, the Mets have accrued 12 holds in addition to 5 blown saves. New York has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 11 save opportunities and they have earned 6 saves. New York relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 38.6% of 57 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 56 times in high leverage situations and on 43 occasions with runners on. They are ranked 24th in the league holding a save rate of 54.5%, and they have sent 125 relievers to the hill over the course of the season.

The New York Mets have gotten 25 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (18th in MLB). The Mets have accrued 347 assists, 21 errors and are sitting with 1,131 putouts for the year. In 3,393 innings on the diamond, the Mets have earned a efficiency on defense of 69.4% (22nd in baseball).

In his career, Holmes has surrendered 469 base knocks and he has 526 strikeouts in 551 innings pitched. Holmes (40-33 career record) has a 3.49 earned run average and has given up 7.7 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 214 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.277 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.24 and he has gone up against 2,360 batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-128)

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