New York Yankees vs New York Mets Prediction, 5/16/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-122) New York (+102)

Citi Field is the site where the New York Mets (18-25) will compete against the New York Yankees (27-17) on Saturday. The line on this matchup has the Yankees at -122 and the Mets are opening at +102. The over/under has been set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Carlos Rodon and David Peterson.

The Yankees have recorded 73 two-baggers as a team and have hit 66 balls out of the park. New York owns a slugging percentage of .433 and have struck out 386 times, while drawing a walk on 200 occasions. As a squad, the New York Yankees are notching 5.1 runs per game, which has them at 4th in baseball. They have earned 212 RBI's and 336 base knocks for the season, while their team batting average comes in at .234. They are sitting with 223 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .330.

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The Yankees hold a team ERA of 3.22 on the campaign (2nd in the league), and they have rung up 384 batters. Yankees pitchers have surrendered 35 long balls in addition to 154 runs (4th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 133 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.46 as a squad on the campaign. New York has given up 316 base hits (7.3 per 9 innings) and also 139 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.89 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.15.

Yankees bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 49 times and also have had 50 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 24 holds on the season (15th in the league). The Yankees relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 55.6% and have entered the game in 43 save situations. They have compiled 10 saves for the year and have blown 8 of 18 save chances. The relievers have inherited 78 runners on the year with 28.2% of those runners earned a run for their team. The Yankees have dispatched 140 relievers to the hill so far this season.

The Yankees have transformed 71.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of 3,501 innings on the field, which has them ranked 6th in professional baseball. The New York Yankees have 1,167 putouts this year, as well as 413 assists and 24 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .985 which is 23rd in MLB, and have a total of 33 double plays.

Rodon has thrown 1,286 innings and has earned 1,413 strikeouts so far in his career. His ERA is 3.74 (535 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.220. He has surrendered 1,087 hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) with 482 walks. Rodon (93-72 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 3.69 and he has faced 5,399 batters in the majors.

The New York Mets have recorded a team OBP of .292 as well as a team batting average of .226 so far this season. They have been rung up on 331 occasions (26th in MLB) and have 325 base hits. New York has knocked in 36 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 153 RBIs. The Mets hold a slugging % of .349 and they tally 3.74 runs per contest (29th in the league). They have hit 56 two-baggers, while walking 130 times and putting up 161 runs.

The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.262 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.55 as a staff this season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.50 (406 strikeouts against 151 free passes). They come in at 10th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 336. They have allowed 37 homers and they allow 4.15 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball). The New York pitching staff have yielded 178 runs this year while having an ERA of 3.75 (161 earned runs surrendered).

Sitting with 23 save situations, the Mets have tallied 12 holds in addition to 5 blown saves. New York has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 11 save chances and they have tallied 6 saves. New York relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 38.6% of 57 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 56 times in high leverage situations and on 43 occasions with runners on. They are currently ranked 24th in the league holding a save rate of 54.5%, and they have sent 127 relievers onto the field on the campaign.

The New York Mets have gotten 26 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (18th in MLB). The Mets have accrued 353 assists, 21 errors and have a total of 1,158 putouts during this campaign. In 3,474 innings played, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (20th in baseball).

Peterson (38-34 career mark) has earned a 4.21 earned run average while giving up 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.36 and he has faced 2,852 opposing hitters thus far in his career. He has given up 309 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.382 and having a FIP of 4.1. During his MLB career, Peterson has conceded 638 hits while totaling 652 strikeouts in 661 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-122)

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