New York Yankees vs New York Mets Prediction, 5/17/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs New York Mets

Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-128) New York (+106)

Citi Field is where the New York Mets (18-25) will attempt to beat the New York Yankees (27-17) on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has the Yankees at -128 and the Mets are priced at +106. The total is 9. The starting pitchers will be Ryan Weathers and Freddy Peralta.

The Yankees have tallied 73 two-baggers as a team and have hit 66 balls out of the stadium. New York is slugging .433 and have been called out on strikes 386 times, while taking a walk on 200 occasions. As a unit, the New York Yankees are compiling 5.1 runs/g, which is 4th in the league. They have accrued 212 RBI's and 336 base knocks this year, and their team batting average comes in at .234. They have earned 223 runs scored and have an OBP of .330.

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The Yankees have a team ERA of 3.22 this season (2nd in baseball), and the staff has rung up 384 batters. Yankees pitchers have given up 35 home runs and also 154 runs in total (4th in the league). They have walked 133 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.46 as a squad on the campaign. New York has relinquished 316 base hits (7.3 per 9 innings) as well as 139 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.89 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.15.

The Yankees have dispatched 140 relievers to the hill so far this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 78 runners over the course of the season and 28.2% of those runners earned a run for their team. The relievers have notched 24 holds on the campaign (15th in baseball). Yankees relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 49 times in addition to having 50 appearances in high leverage situations. They have recorded 10 saves this year and have not converted 8 of their 18 chances to get a save. The Yankees relief pitchers have a save percentage of 55.6% and have come into the game in 43 save situations.

The Yankees have turned 71.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 3,501 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 6th in pro baseball. The New York Yankees have a total of 1,167 putouts this season, in addition to 413 assists and 24 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .985 which has them sitting 23rd in baseball, and have earned 33 double plays.

Weathers has taken the hill for 326 innings and has racked up 289 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.67 (169 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.347. He has surrendered 327 base hits (9.0 hits per nine innings) with 112 walks. Weathers (14-25 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 4.60 and he has gone up against 1,393 batters in the major leagues.

The New York Mets have accounted for an on-base percentage of .292 in addition to a team batting average of .226 so far this season. They have struck out on 331 instances (26th in baseball) and have recorded 325 base hits. New York has hit 36 home runs this season and 153 runs batted in. The Mets have a team SLG% of .349 and they are recording 3.74 runs per outing (29th in the league). They have 56 doubles, while walking 130 times as well as earning 161 runs.

The Mets have a WHIP of 1.262 in addition to having a FIP of 3.55 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. They are sitting at 10th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 336. The New York pitching staff have yielded 178 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 3.75 (161 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.50 (406 strikeouts against 151 bases on balls). They have surrendered 37 long balls and they concede 4.15 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league).

New York relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 38.6% out of their 57 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 56 times in high leverage situations and also on 43 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 23 save situations, the Mets have earned 12 holds in addition to 5 blown saves. They are ranked 24th in baseball with a save percentage of 54.5%, and they have dispatched 127 relief pitchers onto the field over the course of the season.

In 3,474 innings played, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (20th in MLB). The New York Mets have turned 26 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (18th in MLB). The Mets have recorded 353 assists, 21 errors and are sitting with 1,158 putouts on the campaign.

So far in his career, Peralta has allowed 735 base knocks while he has accumulated 1,203 strikeouts in 980 innings. He has given up a total of 388 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.137 and a FIP of 3.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.17 and he has faced 4,063 hitters during his pro baseball career. Peralta (73-45 career record) is the owner of a 3.56 earned run average and has allowed 6.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-128)

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