New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/24/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Friday, July 24, 2026

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-160) Philadelphia (+132)

The Philadelphia Phillies (56-47) will take on the New York Yankees (57-45) at Citizens Bank Park on Friday. The odds on this game have the Yankees at -160 while the Phillies are opening at +132. The over/under is 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Will Warren and Jesus Luzardo.

New York is slugging .420 and have struck out 917 times, while taking a walk on 382 occasions. They have earned 457 runs batted in and 795 base knocks over the course of the season, while their average at the plate comes in at .236. The Yankees have earned 153 doubles as a squad and have hit 147 baseballs out of the park. They have earned a total of 480 runs while holding a team OBP of .315. As a unit, the New York Yankees are putting up 4.7 runs per outing, which has them at 10th in MLB.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.93 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.19. Yankees pitchers have given up 102 long balls and 392 total runs (4th in baseball). New York has yielded 766 base hits (7.6 per 9 innings) and 341 earned runs. The Yankees are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.38 for the year (1st in MLB), and they have rung up 902 hitters. They have walked 308 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.73 as a team so far this year.

Yankees relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 118 times and also have had 114 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 50 holds on the campaign (18th in baseball). The Yankees relievers have a save percentage of 61.0% and have come into the game in 92 save situations. They have 25 saves on the campaign and have not converted 16 out of their 41 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 175 runners this season with 24.6% of them earned a run for their team. The Yankees have dispatched 340 relievers to the mound on the year.

The Yankees have turned 71.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 8,160 innings, which has them ranked 7th in MLB. The New York Yankees have a tally of 2,720 putouts so far this season, in addition to 882 assists and 58 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which has them ranked 20th in MLB, and have a total of 72 double plays.

Warren has taken the mound for 284 innings and has tallied 297 punch outs so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.75 (150 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.415. He has surrendered 293 base hits (9.3 hits per 9 innings) with 109 free passes. Warren (16-15 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 4.68 while he has faced 1,254 batters in the major leagues.

The Phillies hold a slugging percentage of .402 and they are recording 4.35 runs per game (18th in baseball). They have hit 140 two-baggers, while getting a free base 302 times and putting up 448 runs. Philadelphia has hit 135 home runs so far this year and 433 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 913 occasions (6th in baseball) and have notched a total of 817 base hits. The Philadelphia Phillies hold a team on-base percentage of .303 as well as a team batting average of .236 this year.

The Phillies are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.317 with a FIP of 3.82 as a staff on the season. They are sitting at 26th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 902. The Philadelphia pitching staff have surrendered 463 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.27 (433 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.90 (1,004 strikeouts vs 301 bases on balls). They have relinquished 125 dingers and they yield 4.56 runs per 9 innings (15th in the league).

They rank 4th in baseball holding a save rate of 74.4%, and they have dispatched 343 relievers to the hill this year. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 86 times in high leverage situations and on 78 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 82 save situations, the Phillies have accumulated 41 holds in addition to 10 blown saves. Philadelphia has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 39 save opportunities and they have earned 29 saves. Philadelphia bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 35.5% out of their 110 inherited base runners.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 58 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in MLB). The Phillies have accrued 846 assists, 50 errors and have 2,740 putouts for the season. In their 8,220 innings played, the Phillies have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 67.0% (29th in pro baseball).

Thus far in his career, Luzardo has given up 730 hits while earning 918 strikeouts in 810 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 368 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.239 and a FIP of 4.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.35 and he has gone up against 3,387 hitters so far in his MLB career. Luzardo (50-45 record in his career) has a 4.09 earned run average and has allowed 8.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+132) and under 8 runs

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