New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/25/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Saturday, July 25, 2026

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-150) Philadelphia (+125)

Citizens Bank Park is the location where the Philadelphia Phillies (56-47) will attempt to beat the New York Yankees (57-45) on Saturday. The odds on this game have New York at -150 while Philadelphia is sitting at +125. The over/under has been set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Ryan Weathers and Cristopher Sanchez.

As a team, the New York Yankees are recording 4.7 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 10th in MLB. They have earned 480 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .315. The Yankees have compiled 153 doubles as a unit and have knocked 147 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 457 RBI's in addition to 795 hits for the year, while their batting average is at .236. New York is slugging .420 and have struck out 917 times, while being walked on 382 occasions.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.93 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.19. Yankees pitchers have conceded 102 home runs and also 392 total runs (4th in the league). New York has allowed 766 hits (7.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 341 earned runs. The Yankees have a team ERA of 3.38 this season (1st in the league), and their staff has struck out 902 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 308 hitters and their FIP is 3.73 as a team this year.

The Yankees relief pitchers have a save percentage of 61.0% and have entered the game in 92 save situations. They have accumulated 25 saves on the season and have blown 16 of their 41 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 175 runners on the season with 24.6% of those players crossing home plate. Yankees relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 118 times and also have had 114 appearances in high leverage situations. The Yankees have sent 340 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The relief pitchers have notched 50 holds on the season (18th in MLB).

The New York Yankees have earned a total of 2,720 putouts on the year, as well as 882 assists and 58 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .984 which puts them in 20th in the majors, and have accumulated 72 double plays. The Yankees have turned 71.0% of baseballs in play into outs in their 8,160 innings, which has them sitting 7th in professional baseball.

Weathers (15-30 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.72 and he has gone up against 1,644 batters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 391 base hits (9.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 128 free passes. His ERA is 4.79 (204 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.355. Weathers has taken the mound for 383 frames and has earned 350 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

The Phillies have a team SLG% of .402 and they average 4.35 runs per game (18th in the league). They have put up 140 two-baggers, while walking 302 times and putting up 448 runs. Philadelphia has tallied 135 home runs so far this year to go along with 433 RBIs. They have struck out on 913 instances (6th in the league) and have earned a total of 817 base hits. The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated a team OBP of .303 and a batting average of .236 on the campaign.

The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.317 in addition to having a FIP of 3.82 as a unit for the year. They sit at 26th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 902. The Philadelphia pitching staff have conceded 463 runs on the year while having a team ERA of 4.27 (433 earned runs surrendered). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.90 (1,004 strikeouts vs 301 walks). They have conceded 125 dingers and they yield 4.56 runs per 9 innings (15th in baseball).

With 82 save situations, the Phillies have accrued 41 holds in addition to 10 blown saves. Philadelphia has had relief pitchers take the mound in 39 save opportunities and they have recorded 29 saves. Philadelphia relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 35.5% out of their 110 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 86 times in high leverage situations and on 78 occasions with base runners. They are currently ranked 4th in the league with a save rate of 74.4%, and they have dispatched 343 relief pitchers to the hill this season.

In their 8,220 innings on the field, the Phillies are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 67.0% (29th in pro baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 58 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .986 (14th in pro baseball). The Phillies have racked up 846 assists, 50 errors and have notched a total of 2,740 putouts on the season.

In his MLB career, Sanchez has allowed 628 base hits while he has tallied 660 punch outs in 667 innings pitched. Sanchez (42-25 mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.14 earned run average while allowing 8.5 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 233 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.170 and a FIP of 3.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.31 and he has faced 2,743 hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+125)

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