New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/26/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Sunday, July 26, 2026

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-152) Philadelphia (+126)

The New York Yankees (58-45) are on their way to Citizens Bank Park on Sunday where they will attempt to beat the Philadelphia Phillies (56-48). The moneyline on this game has New York at -152 while Philadelphia is at +126. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The men taking the mound are Will Warren and Cristopher Sanchez.

The Yankees have accumulated 153 doubles as a team and have hit 148 baseballs out of the park. New York is slugging .418 and have been called out on strikes 929 times, while taking a walk on 383 occasions. As a squad, the New York Yankees are putting up 4.7 runs/g, which has them sitting at 10th in MLB. They have compiled 458 runs batted in in addition to 798 hits for the season, while their average at the plate comes in at .234. They have racked up 481 runs while having a team OBP of .314.

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The Yankees hold a team ERA of 3.35 so far this season (1st in baseball), and the staff has rung up 915 batters. Yankees pitchers have yielded 102 home runs and also 392 runs (4th in baseball). They have walked 308 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.70 as a team so far this season. New York has allowed 770 hits (7.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 341 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.97 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.18.

The Yankees relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 61.9% and have entered the game in 94 save situations. They have accumulated 26 saves so far this year and have missed out on 16 of their 42 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 177 base runners this season with 24.3% of those players crossing the plate. Yankees relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 119 times as well as having 116 appearances in high leverage situations. The Yankees have dispatched 342 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The relievers have notched 51 holds this year (19th in baseball).

The Yankees have turned 71.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 8,241 innings on the field, which has them ranked 6th in MLB. The New York Yankees are sitting with 2,747 putouts on the year, as well as 891 assists and 58 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .984 which has them ranked 20th in the majors, and have accumulated 72 double plays.

Warren has thrown 284 innings and has tallied 297 K's during his career. Warren (16-15 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 4.68 while facing 1,254 opposing batters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.75 (150 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.415. He has surrendered 293 hits (9.3 hits per 9 innings) with 109 free passes.

The Phillies hold a team SLG% of .400 and they average 4.31 runs per contest (19th in MLB). They have 141 two-baggers, while walking 302 times and scoring 448 runs. Philadelphia is sitting with 135 home runs on the season as well as 433 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 926 occasions (6th in the league) and have a total of 821 base hits. The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated an on-base percentage of .302 and a team batting average of .235 on the year.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have surrendered 464 runs for the season while having an ERA of 4.23 (433 earned runs allowed). They have allowed 126 homers and they concede 4.53 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league). The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.308 and have a FIP of 3.81 as a team on the year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.90 (1,016 strikeouts against 302 free passes). They are currently ranked 25th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 904.

Sitting with 82 save situations, the Phillies have 41 holds in addition to 10 blown saves. Philadelphia has had relief pitchers enter the game in 39 save chances and they have tallied 29 saves. Philadelphia relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 35.5% out of their 110 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 86 times in high leverage situations in addition to 78 occasions with runners on. They rank 3rd in the league holding a save rate of 74.4%, and they have sent 345 relief pitchers to the mound for the year.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 59 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (15th in pro baseball). The Phillies have recorded 854 assists, 52 errors and have accounted for 2,767 putouts over the course of the season. In 8,301 innings played, the Phillies have a defensive efficiency of 67.1% (29th in baseball).

Thus far in his career, Sanchez has allowed 628 base knocks and he has 660 K's in 667 frames. He has surrendered a total of 232 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.170 and a FIP of 3.1. His K/BB ratio is 4.31 and he has gone up against 2,743 opposing hitters during his MLB career. Sanchez (42-25 mark in his career) has earned a 3.13 ERA while allowing 8.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-152)

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