New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 4/10/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Friday, April 10, 2026

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-145) Tampa Bay (+125)

The New York Yankees (8-4) are en route to Tropicana Field on Friday where they will attempt to beat the Tampa Bay Rays (5-7). The moneyline on this game has the Yankees at -145 and the Rays are coming in at +125. The over/under is set at 8. The starting pitchers will be Luis Gil and Drew Rasmussen.

New York has a slugging rate of .365 and have been called out on strikes 110 times, while drawing a walk on 57 occasions. They have tallied 48 RBI's in addition to 77 hits this season, while their team batting average sits at .218. The Yankees have hit 15 doubles as a team and have hit 11 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 54 runs while holding a team OBP of .330. As a unit, the New York Yankees are compiling 4.9 runs per game, which is 8th in the league.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.66 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.05. Yankees pitchers have relinquished 2 long balls and also 28 total runs (1st in MLB). New York has relinquished 74 base knocks (6.8 per 9 innings) as well as 27 earned runs. The Yankees have an earned run average of 2.47 over the course of the season (2nd in MLB), and the staff has rung up 106 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 29 opposing hitters and their FIP is 2.30 as a team on the year.

The Yankees relief pitchers have a save rate of 71.4% and have stepped onto the mound in 16 save situations. They have earned 5 saves for the season and have blown 2 of their 7 save chances. The relievers have inherited 21 runners so far this season and 23.8% of those runners crossing the plate. Yankees pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 14 times in addition to having 16 appearances in high leverage situations. The Yankees have dispatched 42 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. The relief pitchers have racked up 8 holds on the year (11th in the league).

The New York Mets are sitting with 295 putouts this year, in addition to 93 assists and 7 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .982 which has them sitting 19th in pro baseball, and they have turned 6 double plays. The Yankees have turned 70.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 885 innings, which has them ranked 13th in pro baseball.

Gil has pitched in 242 frames and has earned 255 K's in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.50 (94 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.269. He has given up 176 hits (6.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 131 walks. Gil (20-9 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.44 while he has faced 1,029 batters in the majors.

The Tampa Bay Rays are sitting with an OBP of .326 and a batting average of .253 this year. They have been called out on strikes on 86 occasions (29th in the league) and have accounted for 106 hits. Tampa Bay is sitting with 11 long balls on the season as well as 51 runs batted in. The Rays have a team slugging percentage of .379 and they tally 4.58 runs per contest (12th in baseball). They have 16 doubles, while taking a walk 39 times as well as putting up 55 runs.

The Tampa Bay pitching staff have surrendered 69 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 4.97 (58 earned runs allowed). They have conceded 15 long balls and they allow 5.91 runs per 9 innings (27th in the league). The Rays are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.246 in addition to having a FIP of 4.45 as a squad for the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 7.80 (91 strikeouts vs 38 walks). They are currently ranked 14th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 93.

Tampa Bay relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 60.0% out of 15 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 15 times in high leverage situations in addition to 11 occasions with base runners. With 11 save situations, the Rays have tallied 6 holds in addition to 2 blown saves. They sit at 20th in the league with a save rate of 60.0%, and they have sent 35 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the year.

In their 948 innings played, the Rays hold a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (11th in the majors). The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten 6 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .960 (30th in pro baseball). The Rays have racked up 89 assists, 17 errors and have notched a total of 316 putouts this year.

Rasmussen (30-17 mark in his career) has a 2.87 ERA and has conceded 7.2 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.65 and he has gone up against 1,880 opposing batters thus far in his career. He has given up 150 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.059 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.8. During his MLB career, Rasmussen has conceded 378 base hits while accumulating 438 strikeouts in 470 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-145)

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