New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 7/6/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Monday, July 6, 2026

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-196) Tampa Bay (+162)

Tropicana Field is the location where the Tampa Bay Rays (52-34) will compete against the New York Yankees (49-39) on Monday. The moneyline on this game has the Yankees at -196 and the Rays open at +162. The over/under is 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Cam Schlittler and Shane McClanahan.

The Yankees have accounted for 133 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 128 balls out of the stadium. New York has a slugging percentage of .422 and have been called out on strikes 779 times, while taking a walk on 349 occasions. As a squad, the New York Yankees are compiling 4.8 runs per game, which has them at 9th in MLB. They have accumulated 406 RBI's as well as 686 base knocks so far this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .235. They have a total of 426 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .319.

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The Yankees have an earned run average of 3.39 so far this season (2nd in baseball), and the staff has struck out 769 batters. Yankees pitchers have allowed 87 long balls and also 343 total runs (4th in MLB). They have walked 268 batters and their FIP comes in at 3.75 as a team so far this year. New York has given up 664 hits (7.6 per 9 innings) and 294 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.87 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.19.

Yankees relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 99 times in addition to having 97 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have racked up 43 holds on the season (19th in MLB). The Yankees bullpen have earned a save percentage of 61.8% and stepped onto the hill in 78 save situations. They have accumulated 21 saves for the season and have blown 13 of their 34 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 148 runners for the year and 25.7% of those runners crossing home plate. The Yankees have sent 290 relievers to the hill on the season.

The New York Yankees have notched a total of 2,345 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 771 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .984 which is 20th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 59 double plays. The Yankees have turned 71.0% of balls in play into outs out of their 7,035 innings, which ranks them 6th in professional baseball.

Schlittler has pitched in 177 innings and has 207 strikeouts so far in his career. Schlittler (12-8 career record) has a FIP of 2.40 while he has faced 718 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 2.44 (48 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.068. He has conceded 137 hits (7.0 hits per nine innings) with 52 walks.

The Tampa Bay Rays have accounted for an on-base percentage of .338 as well as a team batting average of .260 on the campaign. They have struck out on 613 occasions (30th in MLB) and have tallied 747 base hits. Tampa Bay has tallied 84 home runs so far this season as well as 377 runs batted in. The Rays hold a slugging percentage of .400 and they have an average of 4.60 runs per contest (13th in the league). They have recorded 122 doubles, while getting a free base 314 times as well as putting up 396 runs.

The Tampa Bay pitching staff have allowed 359 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 3.76 (321 earned runs yielded). They have conceded 106 home runs and they give up 4.21 runs per 9 innings (9th in the league). The Rays are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.181 and have a FIP of 4.18 as a unit on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 7.90 (674 strikeouts against 235 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 5th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 672.

They are currently ranked 6th in the league holding a save rate of 72.9%, and they have sent 273 relievers to the hill on the season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 89 times in high leverage situations and on 71 occasions with base runners. With 114 save situations, the Rays have earned 66 holds in addition to 13 blown saves. Tampa Bay has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 48 save opportunities and they have tallied 35 saves. Tampa Bay relievers hold an inherited score rate of 25.5% of 102 inherited runners.

The Tampa Bay Rays have turned 56 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .983 (21st in professional baseball). The Rays have recorded 704 assists, 51 errors and have accounted for 2,304 putouts so far this season. In 6,912 innings on the diamond, the Rays are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 72.1% (2nd in baseball).

So far in his pro baseball career, McClanahan has conceded 396 base knocks while accumulating 533 strikeouts in 483 innings. McClanahan (40-21 career mark) has earned a 3.03 ERA while allowing 7.4 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 163 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.117 and a FIP of 3.0. His K/BB ratio is 3.70 and he has gone up against 1,959 opposing hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+162)

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