New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 7/7/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Tuesday, July 7, 2026

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-182) Tampa Bay (+150)

Tropicana Field is the location where the Tampa Bay Rays (52-35) will meet the New York Yankees (49-40) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Yankees at -182 and the Rays are coming in at +150. The total is 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Will Warren and Ian Seymour.

The Yankees have tallied 134 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 128 balls out of the stadium. New York is slugging .419 and have been rung up 790 times, while being walked on 350 occasions. As a team, the New York Yankees are scoring 4.8 runs per outing, which is 10th in baseball. They have compiled 406 RBI's and 691 hits this season, and their team batting average is .235. They have earned a total of 427 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .318.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.86 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.20. Yankees pitchers have conceded 87 home runs in addition to 349 total runs (5th in MLB). New York has yielded 676 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 298 earned runs. The Yankees are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.39 on the season (2nd in the league), and they have struck out 779 batters. They have walked 272 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.73 as a team so far this season.

The Yankees relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 61.8% and have stepped onto the mound in 78 save situations. They have earned 21 saves this season and have missed out on 13 of their 34 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 151 runners on the campaign with 26.5% of those runners ended up scoring. Yankees pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 101 times and also have had 97 appearances in high leverage situations. The Yankees have dispatched 294 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The bullpen have a total of 43 holds on the year (20th in MLB).

The New York Yankees have a tally of 2,372 putouts this season, in addition to 777 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .983 which puts them in 20th in MLB, and they have turned 61 double plays. The Yankees have transformed 70.8% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,116 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 9th in professional baseball.

Warren (16-14 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 4.62 and he has faced 1,210 batters in the major leagues. He has given up 281 base knocks (9.2 hits per nine innings) and has 104 free passes. His earned run average is 4.70 (143 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.405. Warren has taken the ball for 274 innings and has earned 291 punch outs during his MLB career.

Tampa Bay has compiled 84 home runs this season to go along with 377 runs batted in. They have notched 122 doubles, while getting a free base 316 times and scoring 396 runs. The Tampa Bay Rays have recorded a team OBP of .337 and a team batting average of .259 so far this season. The Rays hold a slugging % of .397 and they earn 4.55 runs per game (15th in the league). They have struck out on 622 occasions (30th in baseball) and have tallied 751 base hits.

The Tampa Bay pitching staff have allowed 361 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 3.75 (323 earned runs surrendered). They have allowed 108 dingers and they give up 4.19 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB). The Rays have a team WHIP of 1.178 and have a FIP of 4.18 as a team on the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.00 (686 strikeouts vs 236 free passes). They are currently ranked 5th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 678.

They rank 6th in the league with a save percentage of 72.9%, and they have sent 275 relief pitchers onto the diamond for the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 89 times in high leverage situations and on 72 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 114 save situations, the Rays have 66 holds in addition to 13 blown saves. Tampa Bay has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 48 save chances and they have tallied 35 saves. Tampa Bay bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 25.2% of 103 inherited base runners.

The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten 57 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (23rd in MLB). The Rays have accrued 708 assists, 53 errors and have accumulated 2,328 putouts over the course of the season. In 6,984 innings played, the Rays hold a defensive efficiency of 72.0% (2nd in baseball).

During his MLB career, Seymour has surrendered 88 hits while totaling 124 punch outs in 113 innings. He has conceded 48 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.133 and a FIP of 3.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.10 and he has faced 472 batters so far in his MLB career. Seymour (9-4 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 3.82 earned run average and has allowed 7.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-182)

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