New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 8/14/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Friday, August 14, 2026

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-144) Toronto (+120)

The Toronto Blue Jays (59-63) will try to defeat the New York Yankees (68-52) at Rogers Centre on Friday. The odds on this game have New York at -144 while Toronto is coming in at +120. The over/under is set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Gerrit Cole and Shane Bieber.

As a team, the New York Yankees are scoring 4.5 runs per contest, which is 13th in baseball. They have earned a total of 545 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .311. The Yankees have accrued 184 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 169 balls out of the stadium. They have tallied 519 runs batted in in addition to 921 base knocks on the year, and their team batting average is .232. New York is slugging .413 and have been called out on strikes 1,099 times, while drawing a walk on 440 occasions.

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The Yankees have a team earned run average of 3.30 this season (1st in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,081 batters. Yankees pitchers have conceded 120 long balls in addition to 455 runs in total (2nd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 368 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.67 as a team for the season. New York has given up 895 hits (7.5 per 9 innings) as well as 393 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.94 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.18.

The Yankees have dispatched 404 relievers to the hill this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 209 base runners so far this season with 22.5% of those runners crossing home plate. The relief pitchers have recorded 65 holds on the season (14th in MLB). Yankees pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 145 times and also have had 141 appearances in high leverage situations. They have accumulated 34 saves for the year and have blown 21 of their 55 chances to save the game. The Yankees bullpen have earned a save rate of 61.8% and have stepped onto the mound in 121 save situations.

The Yankees have converted 71.2% of balls in play into outs out of 9,654 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 6th in MLB. The New York Yankees have a tally of 3,218 putouts this year, in addition to 1,062 assists and 63 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .985 which puts them in 17th in professional baseball, and they have turned 91 double plays.

Cole (159-85 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.14 and he has faced 8,190 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 1,697 hits (7.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 517 walks. His earned run average is 3.19 (720 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.088. Cole has thrown 2,034 innings and has accounted for 2,338 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career.

Toronto has a total of 115 HRs this year as well as 461 runs batted in. They have notched 190 doubles, while walking 334 times and scoring 482 runs. The Toronto Blue Jays have accounted for an on-base percentage of .304 in addition to a team batting average of .243 so far this season. The Blue Jays have a team SLG% of .377 and they are earning 3.95 runs per game (29th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 889 instances (28th in baseball) and have recorded 998 base hits.

The Blue Jays hold a team WHIP of 1.319 with a FIP of 3.97 as a staff so far this season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.80 (1,067 strikeouts vs 452 free passes). They sit at 13th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 981. They have allowed 128 HR's and they surrender 4.44 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league). The Toronto pitching staff have allowed 536 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 3.99 (481 earned runs relinquished).

Toronto relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 27.0% out of their 189 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 156 times in high leverage situations in addition to 134 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 140 save situations, the Blue Jays have accumulated 80 holds and also 15 blown saves. They sit at 5th in MLB with a save rate of 73.2%, and they have dispatched 451 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the season.

The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 83 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .982 (25th in baseball). The Blue Jays have accrued 1,045 assists, 77 errors and have 3,259 putouts this season. In their 9,777 innings played, the Blue Jays have earned a efficiency on defense of 69.5% (18th in pro baseball).

During his MLB career, Bieber has allowed 834 base hits and he has 1,027 K's in 925 innings pitched. He has surrendered 344 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.137 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.71 and he has gone up against 3,769 hitters so far in his career. Bieber (69-36 career mark) has earned a 3.35 earned run average and has given up 8.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-144)

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