New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 8/16/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-128) Toronto (+106)

Rogers Centre is the location where the Toronto Blue Jays (59-64) will take on the New York Yankees (68-53) on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Yankees at -128 and the Blue Jays are coming in at +106. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Ryan Weathers and Dylan Cease.

The Yankees have tallied 185 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 169 balls out of the park. New York is slugging .411 and have been rung up 1,109 times, while being walked on 443 occasions. As a unit, the New York Yankees are putting up 4.5 runs per game, which puts them at 14th in MLB. They have recorded 519 runs batted in as well as 925 base knocks for the year, while their batting average is sitting at .231. They have notched a total of 545 runs and have an on-base percentage of .310.

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The Yankees have compiled a team earned run average of 3.28 this year (1st in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,091 hitters. Yankees pitchers have relinquished 121 home runs in addition to 456 total runs (2nd in MLB). They have walked 371 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.67 as a squad on the year. New York has allowed 900 hits (7.5 per 9 innings) and 394 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.94 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.18.

The Yankees relievers have a save percentage of 61.8% and have stepped onto the mound in 121 save situations. They have recorded 34 saves for the year and have blown 21 out of their 55 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 210 base runners over the course of the season and 22.4% of those runners crossing home plate. Yankees bullpen pitchers have entered the game with players on base 146 times as well as having 141 appearances in high leverage situations. The Yankees have dispatched 407 relievers to the mound this year. The bullpen have a total of 65 holds so far this year (14th in the league).

The New York Yankees have 3,245 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,072 assists and 63 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which puts them in 17th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 93 double plays. The Yankees have turned 71.2% of balls in play into outs out of 9,735 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 6th in the majors.

Weathers has taken the ball for 407 frames and has accounted for 371 punch outs during his pro baseball career. Weathers (17-30 career record) sits with a FIP of 4.48 and he has faced 1,737 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.55 (206 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.331. He has surrendered 406 base knocks (9.0 hits per 9 innings) and has had 136 walks.

The Toronto Blue Jays have an OBP of .303 in addition to a batting average of .242 on the campaign. They have been called out on strikes on 894 occasions (28th in the league) and have accounted for 1,000 base hits. Toronto is sitting with 115 home runs on the year and 461 runs batted in. The Blue Jays hold a team slugging percentage of .375 and they average 3.92 runs per outing (29th in MLB). They have put up 190 two-baggers, while taking a walk 337 times as well as scoring 482 runs.

The Blue Jays hold a team WHIP of 1.322 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.99 as a unit this year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.80 (1,073 strikeouts against 457 free passes). They sit at 14th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 991. They have yielded 129 dingers and they concede 4.46 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league). The Toronto pitching staff have given up 543 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 4.01 (488 earned runs relinquished).

Sitting with 140 save situations, the Blue Jays have compiled 80 holds and also 15 blown saves. Toronto has had relievers step onto the hill in 56 save chances and they have recorded 41 saves. Toronto relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 27.0% out of their 189 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 156 times in high leverage situations and on 134 occasions with runners on base. They are currently ranked 5th in the league with a save rate of 73.2%, and they have sent 455 bullpen pitchers onto the field for the year.

The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 83 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .982 (25th in pro baseball). The Blue Jays have accrued 1,052 assists, 78 errors and have a total of 3,286 putouts so far this year. Out of their 9,858 innings played, the Blue Jays have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 69.5% (18th in baseball).

Cease (72-63 career record) is the owner of a 3.71 earned run average and has given up 7.4 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.93 and he has gone up against 4,833 hitters in his MLB career. He has allowed 473 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.243 and having a FIP of 3.7. So far in his MLB career, Cease has surrendered 939 hits and he has 1,422 strikeouts in 1,146 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Toronto (+106) and under 8.5 runs

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