New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 7/11/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals

Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: Nationals.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-196) Washington (+162)

The Washington Nationals (48-46) will try to defeat the New York Yankees (51-42) at Nationals Park on Saturday. The odds on this game have New York at -196 and Washington is at +162. The over/under is 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Cam Schlittler and Miles Mikolas.

New York is slugging .420 and have been rung up 842 times, while taking a walk on 356 occasions. They have accounted for 427 RBI's and 725 hits so far this year, while their team batting average comes in at .235. The Yankees have hit 139 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 135 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 448 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .316. As a unit, the New York Yankees are recording 4.8 runs per outing, which ranks them 9th in the league.

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The Yankees have an ERA of 3.41 on the year (2nd in the league), and they have struck out 810 hitters. Yankees pitchers have yielded 91 home runs and also 363 total runs (6th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 278 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.73 as a squad on the campaign. New York has surrendered 706 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 312 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.91 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.19.

Yankees relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 105 times as well as having 98 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have earned 44 holds so far this year (21st in baseball). The Yankees bullpen have a save percentage of 61.8% and stepped onto the hill in 79 save situations. They have earned 21 saves for the season and have not converted 13 out of their 34 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 156 runners so far this season and 26.9% of those players ended up scoring. The Yankees have sent 306 relievers to the hill so far this season.

The Yankees have converted 70.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of 7,422 innings, which has them ranked 9th in professional baseball. The New York Yankees have a total of 2,474 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 812 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .984 which is 20th in the majors, and have earned 62 double plays.

Schlittler has taken the hill for 185 frames and has earned 215 punch outs during his pro baseball career. Schlittler (13-8 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 2.35 while he has gone up against 746 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 2.38 (49 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.043. He has given up 141 hits (6.9 hits per nine innings) and has 52 free passes.

The Nationals have a team slugging % of .435 and they have an average of 5.40 runs per contest (1st in MLB). They have tallied 161 doubles, while getting a free base 324 times and scoring 508 runs. Washington has tallied 132 home runs this year as well as 484 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 777 occasions (18th in baseball) and have earned 809 hits. The Washington Nationals have accounted for a team OBP of .325 and a batting average of .251 so far this year.

The Nationals hold a team WHIP of 1.394 in addition to having a FIP of 4.71 as a staff this season. They rank 28th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 845. The Washington pitching staff have relinquished 495 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 4.76 (446 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 7.90 (744 strikeouts against 330 free passes). They have given up 130 home runs and they surrender 5.28 runs per 9 innings (28th in baseball).

With 107 save situations, the Nationals have tallied 50 holds and 25 blown saves. Washington has called on relievers to enter the game in 52 save opportunities and they have tallied 27 saves. Washington relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 43.9% of 139 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 101 times in high leverage situations in addition to 90 occasions with runners on base. They are currently ranked 27th in the league holding a save percentage of 51.9%, and they have dispatched 299 relievers onto the field on the campaign.

In 7,593 innings on the diamond, the Nationals have a efficiency on defense of 68.8% (26th in pro baseball). The Washington Nationals have gotten 74 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .979 (30th in baseball). The Nationals have accrued 857 assists, 73 errors and have a tally of 2,531 putouts on the campaign.

In his career, Mikolas has conceded 1,378 base hits while he has earned 945 punch outs in 1,342 innings. Mikolas (75-82 career record) holds a 4.35 earned run average while giving up 9.2 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 648 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.224 and having a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.57 and he has gone up against 5,602 opposing batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-196)

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