New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 7/12/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals

Date: Sunday, July 12, 2026

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: Nationals.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-132) Washington (+110)

The New York Yankees (52-42) are en route to Nationals Park on Sunday where they will attempt to beat the Washington Nationals (48-47). The odds on this game have New York at -132 and Washington opens at +110. The over/under is 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Will Warren and Cade Cavalli.

New York has a slugging rate of .423 and have been called out on strikes 853 times, while drawing a walk on 359 occasions. They have accumulated 432 RBI's in addition to 738 base knocks so far this year, while their team batting average comes in at .237. The Yankees have hit 139 doubles as a team and have hit 139 baseballs out of the park. They have earned a total of 453 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .317. As a team, the New York Yankees are knocking in 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league.

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The Yankees are sitting with a team ERA of 3.40 over the course of the season (2nd in baseball), and their staff has rung up 818 batters. Yankees pitchers have yielded 93 long balls and 366 total runs (5th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 278 batters and their FIP comes in at 3.73 as a squad over the course of the season. New York has conceded 714 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 315 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.94 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.19.

Yankees pitchers have come into the game with players on base 106 times and also have had 100 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 45 holds so far this season (20th in baseball). The Yankees relievers have accumulated a save rate of 60.0% and stepped onto the hill in 81 save situations. They have compiled 21 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 14 of their 35 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 158 base runners this year and 26.6% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Yankees have sent 310 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The Yankees have converted 70.8% of balls in play into outs out of their 7,503 innings on the field, which ranks them 9th in professional baseball. The New York Yankees have a total of 2,501 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 826 assists and 56 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983 which has them ranked 20th in pro baseball, and have a total of 63 double plays.

Warren has taken the mound for 278 innings and has earned 294 punch outs so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 4.82 (149 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.417. He has given up 288 base knocks (9.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 106 free passes. Warren (16-15 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.75 while he has gone up against 1,231 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Nationals have a team slugging percentage of .435 and they have an average of 5.38 runs per contest (1st in MLB). They have recorded 163 doubles, while getting a free base 324 times and earning 511 runs. Washington has 134 HRs for the year as well as 486 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 785 occasions (17th in MLB) and have a total of 817 base knocks. The Washington Nationals hold a team on-base percentage of .325 and a batting average of .251 for the year.

The Nationals hold a team WHIP of 1.398 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.73 as a staff so far this year. They are currently ranked 28th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 858. The Washington pitching staff have yielded 500 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 4.76 (451 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.00 (755 strikeouts against 333 walks). They have surrendered 134 dingers and they give up 5.28 runs per 9 innings (28th in MLB).

Washington relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 43.6% of 140 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 104 times in high leverage situations and on 91 occasions with runners on. With 110 save situations, the Nationals have 52 holds in addition to 26 blown saves. They are ranked 27th in the league holding a save rate of 50.9%, and they have sent 304 bullpen pitchers to the hill this season.

The Washington Nationals have gotten 76 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .979 (30th in professional baseball). The Nationals have recorded 867 assists, 73 errors and have a total of 2,558 putouts this season. In their 7,674 innings on the diamond, the Nationals have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 68.7% (27th in baseball).

Cavalli (8-6 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.34 ERA and has surrendered 9.9 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.15 and he has faced 654 hitters during his career. He has allowed 70 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.433 and a FIP of 4.3. So far in his MLB career, Cavalli has surrendered 160 hits while he has earned 151 punch outs in 145 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-132)

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