Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 8/31/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Monday, August 31, 2026

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: DBACKS.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-145) Arizona (+125)

The Philadelphia Phillies (75-60) are headed to Chase Field on Monday where they will try to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks (72-64). The odds on this game have Philadelphia at -145 and Arizona is at +125. The over/under has been set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Aaron Nola and Brandon Pfaadt.

As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are recording 4.5 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 12th in the league. They have 613 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .313. The Phillies have recorded 195 doubles as a team and have knocked 162 baseballs out of the park. They have accrued 594 RBI's as well as 1,100 hits this year, and their team batting average sits at .243. Philadelphia has a slugging % of .403 and have been rung up 1,129 times, while being walked on 429 occasions.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.23 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.30. Phillies pitchers have allowed 160 home runs and 588 runs in total (12th in the league). Philadelphia has yielded 1,139 hits (8.6 per 9 innings) as well as 545 earned runs. The Phillies are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.10 so far this year (13th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,330 batters. They have walked 412 opposing players and their FIP is 3.78 as a squad on the campaign.

The Phillies have sent 449 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The relievers have inherited 139 runners this year and 36.7% of those players crossing home plate. The relief pitchers have earned 57 holds on the campaign (25th in the league). Phillies relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 103 times and also have had 127 appearances in high leverage situations. They have earned 36 saves this season and have blown 17 of 53 save chances. The Phillies relief pitchers have a save rate of 67.9% and have stepped onto the mound in 112 save situations.

The Phillies have turned 67.6% of balls in play into outs out of 10,779 innings, which has them sitting 29th in the majors. The Philadelphia Phillies have amassed 3,593 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 1,110 assists and 68 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .986 which puts them in 14th in baseball, and have accumulated 81 double plays.

Nola (114-99 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.86 while he has faced 7,655 hitters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 1,673 base hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) and has had 498 free passes. His ERA is 3.92 (810 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.168. Nola has taken the hill for 1,858 innings and is sitting with 2,029 punch outs so far in his career.

Arizona has hit 135 home runs over the course of the season as well as 588 runs batted in. They have notched 232 doubles, while getting a free base 455 times as well as earning 616 runs. The Arizona Diamondbacks have tallied an on-base percentage of .316 and a batting average of .244 on the year. The Diamondbacks hold a team SLG% of .399 and they average 4.53 runs per game (13th in MLB). They have been rung up on 984 occasions (28th in baseball) and have earned 1,111 base knocks.

The Arizona pitching staff have given up 612 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 4.20 (563 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 159 homers and they allow 4.56 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league). The Diamondbacks hold a team WHIP of 1.286 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.39 as a staff on the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 6.90 (928 strikeouts vs 402 free passes). They are currently ranked 23rd in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 1,150.

They rank 11th in baseball holding a save percentage of 68.8%, and they have sent 449 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 141 times in high leverage situations in addition to 119 occasions with runners on. With 123 save situations, the Diamondbacks have earned 74 holds and also 15 blown saves. Arizona has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 48 save chances and they have earned 33 saves. Arizona relievers have an inherited score percentage of 26.0% out of 177 inherited base runners.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have gotten 117 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .989 (2nd in professional baseball). The Diamondbacks have racked up 1,183 assists, 51 errors and have 3,621 putouts on the season. In their 10,863 innings played, the Diamondbacks have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (6th in MLB).

Pfaadt (34-29 career record) holds a 4.83 ERA and has surrendered 9.4 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.80 and he has faced 2,379 batters in his MLB career. He has allowed 300 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.279 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.8. Thus far in his career, Pfaadt has allowed 584 hits while tallying 498 strikeouts in 559 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-145)

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