Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/12/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Braves.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+126) Atlanta (-152)

The Philadelphia Phillies (82-65) are hitting the road to Truist Park on Saturday where they will attempt to beat the Atlanta Braves (86-61). The line on this contest has Philadelphia at +126 while Atlanta is at -152. The total has been set at 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Jesus Luzardo and Tyler Mahle.

Philadelphia is slugging .400 and have struck out 1,220 times, while taking a walk on 464 occasions. They have earned 639 runs batted in and 1,190 hits over the course of the season, and their team batting average sits at .242. The Phillies have earned 215 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 173 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 659 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .312. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are notching 4.5 runs per game, which is 15th in the league.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 3.28 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.27. Phillies pitchers have surrendered 173 long balls and 622 runs (10th in baseball). Philadelphia has surrendered 1,225 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 578 earned runs. The Phillies have compiled a team ERA of 3.98 this year (11th in baseball), and they have struck out 1,437 batters. They have walked 438 opposing players and their FIP is 3.77 as a team this season.

Phillies relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 107 times and also have had 143 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have earned 66 holds over the course of the season (27th in baseball). The Phillies relief pitchers have a save rate of 67.2% and have entered the game in 126 save situations. They have compiled 39 saves for the year and have blown 19 of their 58 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 146 base runners on the season with 34.9% of them earned a run for their team. The Phillies have dispatched 480 relief pitchers to the hill this year.

The Philadelphia Phillies have a total of 3,917 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,212 assists and 74 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which ranks 16th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 90 double plays. The Phillies have transformed 68.1% of baseballs in play into outs in their 11,751 innings on the field, which has them ranked 28th in MLB.

Luzardo (55-46 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.87 and he has gone up against 3,631 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 769 base knocks (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 289 walks. His ERA is 3.93 (381 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.211. Luzardo has taken the mound for 873 innings and has accounted for 996 strikeouts thus far in his career.

The Braves hold a team SLG% of .408 and they tally 4.56 runs per game (10th in baseball). They have tallied 233 two-baggers, while getting a free base 419 times as well as racking up 671 runs. Atlanta has 183 long balls so far this season as well as 644 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,188 instances (20th in the league) and have earned 1,217 base hits. The Atlanta Braves have accounted for an OBP of .309 in addition to a team batting average of .246 on the season.

The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.245 with a FIP of 4.08 as a squad on the season. They come in at 6th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,131. The Atlanta pitching staff have yielded 561 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.58 (518 earned runs conceded). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.60 (1,240 strikeouts vs 492 walks). They have surrendered 163 home runs and they surrender 3.87 runs per 9 innings (2nd in baseball).

Atlanta relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 22.2% out of 158 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 165 times in high leverage situations in addition to 108 occasions with runners on. With 170 save situations, the Braves have 100 holds in addition to 19 blown saves. They rank 8th in MLB holding a save percentage of 70.8%, and they have sent 457 relief pitchers onto the field this year.

In their 11,736 innings played, the Braves have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.4% (5th in professional baseball). The Atlanta Braves have gotten 118 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in baseball). The Braves have 1,206 assists, 64 errors and have a total of 3,912 putouts so far this year.

In his MLB career, Mahle has allowed 709 base hits while accumulating 788 K's in 771 innings pitched. Mahle (41-47 career win-loss mark) has a 3.93 earned run average while allowing 8.3 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 337 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.270 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. His K/BB ratio is 2.92 and he has gone up against 3,263 batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (-152)

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