Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/13/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Braves.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+126) Atlanta (-152)

The Atlanta Braves (86-61) will take on the Philadelphia Phillies (82-65) at Truist Park on Sunday. The line on this contest has the Phillies at +126 and the Braves are at -152. The betting total is set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Andrew Painter and Grant Holmes.

Philadelphia has a slugging % of .400 and have been called out on strikes 1,220 times, while being walked on 464 occasions. They have recorded 639 runs batted in as well as 1,190 base knocks this season, and their team batting average sits at .242. The Phillies have accumulated 215 doubles as a squad and have knocked 173 baseballs out of the park. They have a total of 659 runs and have an on-base percentage of .312. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.5 runs per game, which ranks them 15th in baseball.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.28 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.27. Phillies pitchers have surrendered 173 long balls and also 622 total runs (10th in the league). Philadelphia has allowed 1,225 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 578 earned runs. The Phillies are sitting with a team ERA of 3.98 for the season (11th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,437 hitters. They have walked 438 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.77 as a team for the season.

The Phillies relievers have a save percentage of 67.2% and have entered the game in 126 save situations. They have accumulated 39 saves this season and have not converted 19 out of their 58 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 146 base runners for the year with 34.9% of those players crossing the plate. Phillies bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 107 times and also have had 143 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have dispatched 480 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers have earned 66 holds on the campaign (27th in the league).

The Phillies have converted 68.1% of balls in play into outs out of their 11,751 innings on the field, which ranks them 28th in the majors. The Philadelphia Phillies have earned a total of 3,917 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,212 assists and 74 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which is 16th in MLB, and they have turned 90 double plays.

Painter has taken the hill for 110 innings and is sitting with 97 strikeouts in his career. His earned run average is 5.72 (70 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.417. He has allowed 117 hits (9.6 hits per 9 innings) with 39 free passes. Painter (3-9 career mark) has earned a FIP of 5.64 and he has gone up against 483 batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Atlanta Braves are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .309 and a batting average of .246 on the campaign. They have struck out on 1,188 instances (20th in baseball) and have tallied 1,217 hits. Atlanta has a total of 183 home runs on the season to go along with 644 RBIs. The Braves have a team slugging % of .408 and they are scoring 4.56 runs per outing (10th in baseball). They have put up 233 doubles, while walking 419 times as well as scoring 671 runs.

The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.245 and have a FIP of 4.08 as a team on the year. They come in at 6th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,131. The Atlanta pitching staff have allowed 561 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 3.58 (518 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.60 (1,240 strikeouts vs 492 bases on balls). They have relinquished 163 long balls and they give up 3.87 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league).

Sitting with 170 save situations, the Braves have accumulated 100 holds and 19 blown saves. Atlanta has called on relievers to take the mound in 65 save chances and they have come away with 46 saves. Atlanta relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 22.2% out of their 158 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 165 times in high leverage situations in addition to 108 occasions with runners on. They are ranked 8th in MLB holding a save rate of 70.8%, and they have sent 457 relief pitchers onto the diamond for the year.

In 11,736 innings on the field, the Braves have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.4% (5th in pro baseball). The Atlanta Braves have gotten 118 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in professional baseball). The Braves have accrued 1,206 assists, 64 errors and have accumulated 3,912 putouts for the season.

So far in his MLB career, Holmes has surrendered 286 base knocks and he has 303 punch outs in 320 frames. He has given up a total of 131 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.286 and a FIP of 3.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.40 and he has faced 1,357 hitters during his pro baseball career. Holmes (15-15 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.68 earned run average and has conceded 8.0 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+126)

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