Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 8/2/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Sunday, August 2, 2026

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-128) Baltimore (+106)

The Baltimore Orioles (53-56) host the Philadelphia Phillies (57-52) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Phillies at -128 and the Orioles are coming in at +106. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Zack Wheeler and Kyle Bradish.

As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are earning 4.3 runs per contest, which ranks them 19th in baseball. They have accounted for 473 runs and hold an OBP of .303. The Phillies have hit 148 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 138 balls out of the park. They have amassed 457 runs batted in as well as 863 base knocks this season, and their team batting average comes in at .236. Philadelphia is slugging .400 and have struck out 966 times, while drawing a walk on 318 occasions.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.33 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.31. Phillies pitchers have conceded 134 long balls and also 488 runs in total (15th in MLB). Philadelphia has conceded 948 hits (8.8 per 9 innings) and also 457 earned runs. The Phillies are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.26 on the campaign (20th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,061 batters. They have walked 319 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.85 as a squad so far this year.

The Phillies have sent 363 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. The relievers have inherited 115 base runners over the course of the season and 36.5% of those runners crossing home plate. The relief pitchers have accumulated 44 holds on the campaign (26th in the league). Phillies relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 81 times in addition to having 93 appearances in high leverage situations. They have accumulated 29 saves this season and have blown 12 of 41 chances to get a save. The Phillies relief pitchers have a save percentage of 70.7% and have stepped onto the mound in 87 save situations.

The Phillies have converted 67.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of 8,682 innings on the field, which has them ranked 29th in MLB. The Philadelphia Phillies have earned 2,894 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 895 assists and 59 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .985 which is 18th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 62 double plays.

Wheeler has pitched in 1,831 frames and has accumulated 1,943 strikeouts so far in his career. Wheeler (123-77 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.19 while he has faced 7,482 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 3.24 (659 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.125. He has conceded 1,547 base knocks (7.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 513 walks.

The Baltimore Orioles have accounted for a team OBP of .321 and a batting average of .237 for the year. They have struck out on 1,001 instances (4th in baseball) and have accounted for 864 base knocks. Baltimore has tallied 127 home runs for the season as well as 483 RBIs. The Orioles hold a slugging % of .394 and they have an average of 4.60 runs per game (11th in the league). They have notched 163 doubles, while getting a free base 423 times as well as scoring 501 runs.

The Baltimore pitching staff have relinquished 525 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 4.21 (455 earned runs relinquished). They have yielded 118 long balls and they concede 4.86 runs per 9 innings (23rd in baseball). The Orioles hold a team WHIP of 1.345 and have a FIP of 4.11 as a unit for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.00 (865 strikeouts against 366 walks). They come in at 24th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 943.

Sitting with 100 save situations, the Orioles have accumulated 55 holds and also 16 blown saves. Baltimore has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 43 save opportunities and they have recorded 27 saves. Baltimore bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 25.9% of 135 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 111 times in high leverage situations and on 102 occasions with runners on. They sit at 14th in the league holding a save rate of 62.8%, and they have sent 359 bullpen pitchers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Baltimore Orioles have turned 79 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .981 (27th in MLB). The Orioles have recorded 946 assists, 73 errors and have accounted for 2,921 putouts on the season. Out of their 8,763 innings played, the Orioles are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (26th in pro baseball).

So far in his pro baseball career, Bradish has conceded 410 base knocks while accumulating 493 punch outs in 475 innings. He has allowed 187 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.214 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.95 and he has gone up against 1,970 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career. Bradish (26-24 record in his career) has earned a 3.54 earned run average and has given up 7.8 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-128)

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