Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/13/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Wednesday, May 13, 2026

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+132) Boston (-160)

The Boston Red Sox (17-23) host the Philadelphia Phillies (19-22) at Fenway Park on Wednesday. The odds on this game have Philadelphia at +132 and Boston is coming in at -160. The betting total is set at 9. The pitchers expected to start will be Andrew Painter and Sonny Gray.

The Phillies have tallied 60 two-baggers as a team and have hit 49 balls out of the stadium. Philadelphia owns a slugging percentage of .396 and have struck out 325 times, while drawing a walk on 122 occasions. As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are knocking in 4.2 runs per contest, which ranks them 22nd in the league. They have recorded 167 RBI's as well as 331 hits for the season, while their batting average comes in at .237. They have earned 170 runs scored and hold an OBP of .303.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.13 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.41. Phillies pitchers have given up 41 home runs and also 202 total runs (24th in baseball). Philadelphia has given up 392 hits (9.6 per 9 innings) as well as 186 earned runs. The Phillies hold a team ERA of 4.57 so far this season (24th in the league), and their staff has rung up 394 batters. They have walked 126 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.59 as a team on the season.

Phillies relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 44 times in addition to having 35 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 13 holds for the year (28th in the league). The Phillies relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 66.7% and stepped onto the hill in 25 save situations. They have accumulated 8 saves this season and have missed out on 4 of 12 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 54 base runners on the campaign with 31.5% of those players ended up scoring. The Phillies have dispatched 146 relievers to the mound this year.

The Philadelphia Phillies have earned a total of 1,099 putouts so far this season, as well as 361 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which has them sitting 13th in professional baseball, and they have turned 22 double plays. The Phillies have turned 64.9% of balls hit into play into outs in their 3,297 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 30th in professional baseball.

Painter (1-4 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 6.88 while going up against 153 opposing batters in the majors. He has given up 44 hits (12.3 hits per nine innings) and has had 12 walks. His earned run average is 6.99 (25 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.739. Painter has taken the hill for 32 innings and has earned 30 strikeouts during his MLB career.

The Boston Red Sox have recorded a team OBP of .314 as well as a batting average of .235 on the campaign. They have struck out on 338 instances (15th in baseball) and have earned a total of 314 base knocks. Boston has hit 29 HRs on the campaign as well as 149 RBIs. The Red Sox hold a slugging % of .353 and they score 3.90 runs per game (27th in the league). They have recorded 64 doubles, while getting a free base 132 times as well as putting up 156 runs.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.294 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.31 as a unit on the year. They are currently ranked 16th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 325. The Boston pitching staff have relinquished 168 runs on the year while having a team ERA of 4.00 (157 earned runs yielded). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.10 (318 strikeouts against 132 free passes). They have relinquished 47 HR's and they concede 4.28 runs per 9 innings (13th in baseball).

They rank 8th in baseball holding a save rate of 66.7%, and they have sent 123 bullpen pitchers onto the field over the course of the season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 32 times in high leverage situations in addition to 36 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 31 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 19 holds and 4 blown saves. Boston has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 12 save opportunities and they have walked away with 8 saves. Boston relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 32.1% out of 53 inherited runners.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 32 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (10th in pro baseball). The Red Sox have racked up 366 assists, 18 errors and have amassed 1,060 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 3,180 innings on the field, the Red Sox have earned a efficiency on defense of 70.5% (14th in the majors).

So far in his MLB career, Gray has conceded 1,704 hits while accumulating 1,940 strikeouts in 1,946 frames. He has given up a total of 774 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.198 and having a FIP of 3.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.09 and he has faced 8,071 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Gray (128-103 win-loss mark in his career) has a 3.58 ERA while giving up 7.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+132)

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