Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 4/20/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Monday, April 20, 2026

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+120) Chicago (-144)

The Philadelphia Phillies (8-12) are headed to Wrigley Field on Monday where they will try to defeat the Chicago Cubs (11-9). The line on this matchup has Philadelphia at +120 while Chicago is sitting at -144. The over/under is set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Aaron Nola and Colin Rea.

The Phillies have accumulated 30 doubles as a unit and have knocked 21 baseballs out of the stadium. Philadelphia has a slugging percentage of .369 and have struck out 172 times, while drawing a walk on 63 occasions. As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 3.7 runs per game, which is 24th in MLB. They have accounted for 72 RBI's in addition to 150 base knocks over the course of the season, while their batting average is at .224. They have notched a total of 73 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .303.

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The Phillies have compiled a team ERA of 4.88 for the season (27th in the league), and their staff has struck out 200 hitters. Phillies pitchers have allowed 19 home runs and also 109 runs in total (28th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 55 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.29 as a team so far this year. Philadelphia has relinquished 198 base hits (10.0 per 9 innings) and 97 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 3.64 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.41.

The Phillies have sent 72 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 20 runners on the campaign and 45.0% of them earned a run for their team. The relievers have notched 10 holds so far this season (20th in the league). Phillies bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 16 times and also have had 14 appearances in high leverage situations. They have accumulated 5 saves so far this year and have not converted 1 of their 6 chances to get a save. The Phillies bullpen have a save percentage of 83.3% and have come into the game in 16 save situations.

The Phillies have turned 62.6% of baseballs in play into outs in their 1,611 innings, which has them sitting at 30th in baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have amassed 537 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 187 assists and 15 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .980 which ranks 26th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 13 double plays.

Nola (110-90 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.78 and he has faced 7,132 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has allowed 1,545 base knocks (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and has had 455 free passes. His ERA is 3.83 (740 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.151. Nola has taken the mound for 1,737 frames and is sitting with 1,900 punch outs thus far in his career.

The Cubs have a team slugging percentage of .402 and they have an average of 5.50 runs per game (4th in baseball). They have recorded 30 doubles, while getting a free base 92 times as well as notching 110 runs. Chicago has a total of 24 long balls over the course of the season and 98 RBIs. They have struck out on 169 occasions (19th in the league) and have 172 hits. The Chicago Cubs have accumulated an on-base percentage of .343 and a batting average of .252 on the campaign.

The Cubs are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.185 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.11 as a pitching staff so far this year. They have a ranking of 3rd in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 149. The Chicago pitching staff have surrendered 81 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 3.74 (74 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.50 (168 strikeouts vs 62 free passes). They have conceded 23 long balls and they concede 4.10 runs per 9 innings (10th in baseball).

Sitting with 9 save situations, the Cubs have 3 holds in addition to 3 blown saves. Chicago has had relief pitchers enter the game in 6 save chances and they have come away with 3 saves. Chicago bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 26.9% out of their 26 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 14 times in high leverage situations and on 19 occasions with runners on base. They are currently ranked 22nd in the league with a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have sent 60 relief pitchers onto the field for the season.

In 1,602 innings on the diamond, the Cubs hold a efficiency on defense of 71.9% (5th in the majors). The Chicago Cubs have turned 19 double plays and have a fielding rate of .988 (11th in pro baseball). The Cubs have 180 assists, 9 errors and have amassed 534 putouts over the course of the season.

Rea (39-27 career win-loss record) has a 4.39 ERA and has conceded 8.7 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.75 and he has gone up against 2,635 batters during his MLB career. He has given up 304 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.261 and a FIP of 4.3. So far in his career, Rea has surrendered 601 base hits while he has tallied 508 punch outs in 623 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+120)

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