Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/9/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Thursday, July 9, 2026

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Reds.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-160) Cincinnati (+132)

The Cincinnati Reds (41-49) will compete against the Philadelphia Phillies (51-41) at Great American Ball Park on Thursday. The odds on this game have the Phillies at -160 while the Reds are sitting at +132. The betting total comes in at 9. The pitchers expected to start will be Jesus Luzardo and Brady Singer.

As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 4.4 runs per outing, which is 17th in MLB. They have notched a total of 407 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .304. The Phillies have accumulated 124 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 121 balls out of the stadium. They have accumulated 393 RBI's and 737 hits so far this season, while their team batting average is at .238. Philadelphia has a slugging percentage of .403 and have been rung up 809 times, while taking a walk on 270 occasions.

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The Phillies have compiled a team earned run average of 4.21 so far this year (14th in the league), and the staff has rung up 895 hitters. Phillies pitchers have allowed 106 home runs in addition to 411 runs in total (17th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 262 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.72 as a unit for the season. Philadelphia has allowed 816 base hits (9.0 per 9 innings) and 382 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.42 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.32.

The Phillies have dispatched 308 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The relievers have inherited 99 base runners on the season with 34.3% of them earned a run for their team. The bullpen have tallied 37 holds for the year (26th in MLB). Phillies pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 72 times in addition to having 81 appearances in high leverage situations. They have compiled 27 saves on the campaign and have blown 10 out of their 37 save opportunities. The Phillies relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 73.0% and stepped onto the hill in 76 save situations.

The Phillies have transformed 66.6% of baseballs in play into outs in their 7,347 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 30th in baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with 2,449 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 757 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986 which ranks 15th in pro baseball, and have earned 48 double plays.

Luzardo has taken the mound for 798 frames and has tallied 900 strikeouts so far in his career. His earned run average is 4.14 (367 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.248. He has given up 726 base knocks (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has 270 walks. Luzardo (48-45 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.08 and he has gone up against 3,341 hitters in the majors.

Cincinnati has a total of 108 home runs this season as well as 354 runs batted in. They have 142 doubles, while taking a walk 335 times as well as putting up 373 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .308 and a batting average of .227 for the year. The Reds hold a team slugging percentage of .386 and they are scoring 4.14 runs per contest (22nd in the league). They have been rung up on 852 occasions (3rd in the league) and have tallied 684 hits.

The Reds hold a team WHIP of 1.452 with a FIP of 4.97 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. They rank 20th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 759. The Cincinnati pitching staff have surrendered 436 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 4.56 (406 earned runs given up). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.10 (724 strikeouts against 404 free passes). They have conceded 122 homers and they yield 4.90 runs per 9 innings (21st in MLB).

They are currently ranked 25th in MLB with a save percentage of 55.3%, and they have sent 323 relievers onto the diamond on the season. Their relief pitchers have come in 111 times in high leverage situations and also on 104 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 90 save situations, the Reds have earned 51 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. Cincinnati has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 38 save chances and they have recorded 21 saves. Cincinnati relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 25.0% of 144 inherited base runners.

In their 7,209 innings on the field, the Reds hold a efficiency on defense of 70.4% (12th in MLB). The Cincinnati Reds have turned 65 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in MLB). The Reds have recorded 741 assists, 49 errors and have a tally of 2,403 putouts for the year.

In his pro baseball career, Singer has allowed 942 base knocks while he has totaled 879 K's in 937 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 448 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.330 and a FIP of 4.2. His K/BB ratio is 2.89 and he has faced 4,024 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Singer (53-64 career mark) has earned a 4.30 ERA while giving up 9.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-160)

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