Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 7/10/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Friday, July 10, 2026

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Detroit SportsNet

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-122) Detroit (+102)

The Detroit Tigers (42-50) will go up against the Philadelphia Phillies (51-42) at Comerica Park on Friday. The moneyline on this game has Philadelphia at -122 while Detroit is coming in at +102. The over/under is 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Aaron Nola and Jack Flaherty.

Philadelphia has a slugging rate of .404 and have been called out on strikes 816 times, while taking a walk on 278 occasions. They have recorded 397 runs batted in in addition to 745 hits so far this season, and their average at the plate comes in at .238. The Phillies have tallied 125 doubles as a team and have smacked 123 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 412 runs and hold an OBP of .305. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are compiling 4.4 runs per game, which has them sitting at 18th in baseball.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.36 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.33. Phillies pitchers have given up 111 home runs in addition to 422 total runs (18th in the league). Philadelphia has allowed 827 base hits (9.0 per 9 innings) and 393 earned runs. The Phillies hold a team earned run average of 4.29 so far this season (17th in MLB), and they have rung up 905 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 269 opposing players and their FIP is 3.79 as a unit over the course of the season.

The Phillies have sent 313 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have inherited 99 runners for the year with 34.3% of those players earned a run for their team. The relief pitchers have racked up 37 holds over the course of the season (26th in the league). Phillies bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 72 times and also have had 81 appearances in high leverage situations. They have compiled 27 saves on the year and have missed out on 10 of their 37 chances to get a save. The Phillies relievers have earned a save percentage of 73.0% and have entered the game in 76 save situations.

The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated 2,473 putouts on the year, in addition to 762 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .986 which is 14th in baseball, and have 48 double plays. The Phillies have converted 66.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 7,419 innings, ranking them 29th in pro baseball.

Nola has taken the mound for 1,807 innings and has totaled 1,970 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. Nola (112-95 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.88 while he has gone up against 7,444 opposing batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.93 (790 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.165. He has allowed 1,627 base knocks (8.1 hits per nine innings) and has 478 free passes.

The Detroit Tigers have tallied a team on-base percentage of .315 as well as a team batting average of .236 so far this season. They have struck out on 799 instances (11th in the league) and have earned 724 base hits. Detroit has compiled 108 long balls so far this year to go along with 373 runs batted in. The Tigers hold a team slugging % of .398 and they earn 4.25 runs per contest (20th in baseball). They have put up 137 two-baggers, while taking a walk 333 times and scoring 391 runs.

The Tigers are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.223 with a FIP of 3.90 as a staff on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.40 (756 strikeouts vs 273 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 7th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 718. They have relinquished 94 homers and they surrender 4.12 runs per 9 innings (7th in MLB). The Detroit pitching staff have surrendered 371 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 3.69 (332 earned runs surrendered).

Sitting with 80 save situations, the Tigers have recorded 41 holds and 20 blown saves. Detroit has had relievers take the mound in 37 save chances and they have come away with 17 saves. Detroit relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.4% out of their 155 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 75 times in high leverage situations and on 102 occasions with runners on. They rank 29th in the league with a save percentage of 45.9%, and they have sent 283 relievers to the hill for the year.

Out of their 7,296 innings on the field, the Tigers have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.0% (8th in baseball). The Detroit Tigers have gotten 65 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (8th in the majors). The Tigers have accrued 796 assists, 41 errors and are sitting with 2,432 putouts so far this year.

Flaherty (65-64 record in his career) has a 3.86 earned run average while giving up 7.7 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.15 and he has faced 4,467 batters in his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 457 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.217 and having a FIP of 3.8. During his pro baseball career, Flaherty has allowed 910 hits and he has 1,222 punch outs in 1,066 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-122)

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