Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 7/11/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Detroit SportsNet

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-128) Detroit (+106)

Comerica Park is the location where the Detroit Tigers (43-50) will attempt to defeat the Philadelphia Phillies (52-42) on Saturday. The odds on this game have Philadelphia at -128 and Detroit is sitting at +106. The total has been set at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Cristopher Sanchez and Casey Mize.

As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are compiling 4.4 runs per outing, which ranks them 18th in the league. They have tallied 413 runs while having a team OBP of .304. The Phillies have tallied 126 doubles as a team and have hit 123 baseballs out of the park. They have accrued 398 runs batted in as well as 750 base knocks over the course of the season, and their team batting average is at .237. Philadelphia has a slugging % of .402 and have been called out on strikes 823 times, while taking a walk on 279 occasions.

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Their K/BB ratio is 3.39 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.32. Phillies pitchers have given up 111 home runs and 422 runs in total (18th in baseball). Philadelphia has given up 830 base knocks (9.0 per 9 innings) as well as 393 earned runs. The Phillies are sitting with a team ERA of 4.24 for the season (16th in the league), and their staff has struck out 919 batters. They have walked 271 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.76 as a team so far this season.

The Phillies have dispatched 315 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 99 base runners for the season with 34.3% of those runners crossing home plate. The relief pitchers have accumulated 38 holds over the course of the season (26th in the league). Phillies bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 72 times as well as having 83 appearances in high leverage situations. They have compiled 28 saves over the course of the season and have blown 10 of 38 chances to save the game. The Phillies relief pitchers have a save percentage of 73.7% and have come into the game in 78 save situations.

The Phillies have converted 66.8% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,500 innings on the field, ranking them 29th in pro baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated 2,500 putouts for the season, as well as 771 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which has them sitting 14th in baseball, and they have turned 48 double plays.

Sanchez has pitched in 655 innings and has accumulated 646 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 3.13 (228 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.164. He has given up 611 base knocks (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 152 free passes. Sanchez (40-25 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.08 while he has faced 2,689 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

The Tigers have a team SLG% of .399 and they are earning 4.25 runs per contest (20th in baseball). They have 137 doubles, while walking 336 times as well as recording 395 runs. Detroit is sitting with 111 long balls over the course of the season as well as 377 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 808 occasions (11th in MLB) and have accounted for 730 base hits. The Detroit Tigers hold an on-base percentage of .314 in addition to a batting average of .236 on the year.

The Tigers have a team WHIP of 1.217 and have a FIP of 3.88 as a team so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.40 (767 strikeouts against 274 walks). They rank 7th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 723. They have conceded 94 long balls and they surrender 4.09 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league). The Detroit pitching staff have given up 372 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 3.66 (333 earned runs relinquished).

They sit at 29th in the league holding a save percentage of 47.4%, and they have dispatched 285 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the year. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 75 times in high leverage situations in addition to 102 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 82 save situations, the Tigers have tallied 42 holds and 20 blown saves. Detroit has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 38 save opportunities and they have converted 18 saves. Detroit bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 28.4% out of their 155 inherited runners.

In 7,377 innings on the diamond, the Tigers are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.0% (8th in professional baseball). The Detroit Tigers have gotten 66 double plays and have a fielding rate of .988 (7th in baseball). The Tigers have recorded 807 assists, 41 errors and have amassed 2,459 putouts this season.

Thus far in his career, Mize has conceded 500 base hits while he has totaled 437 strikeouts in 511 innings pitched. Mize (27-30 career record) has earned a 3.98 earned run average and has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 226 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.246 and a FIP of 3.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.19 and he has faced 2,149 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-128)

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