Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 5/2/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

Date: Saturday, May 2, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-160) Miami (+132)

The Miami Marlins (15-16) will compete against the Philadelphia Phillies (12-19) at LoanDepot Park on Saturday. The odds on this game have Philadelphia at -160 and Miami is at +132. The total is 8. The expected starting pitchers are Zack Wheeler and Max Meyer.

The Phillies have compiled 43 doubles as a team and have knocked 33 balls out of the stadium. Philadelphia has a slugging rate of .376 and have struck out 249 times, while being walked on 101 occasions. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are earning 3.8 runs/g, which puts them at 28th in baseball. They have earned 116 runs batted in and 238 hits so far this season, and their team batting average comes in at .227. They are sitting with 118 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .302.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.97 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.48. Phillies pitchers have allowed 31 home runs and also 163 total runs (27th in baseball). Philadelphia has allowed 309 base hits (10.1 per 9 innings) as well as 148 earned runs. The Phillies are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.84 for the season (27th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 291 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 98 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.68 as a unit over the course of the season.

Phillies pitchers have come into the game with players on base 36 times in addition to having 26 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have notched 10 holds on the campaign (28th in the league). The Phillies bullpen have earned a save percentage of 55.6% and have entered the game in 19 save situations. They have compiled 5 saves this season and have not converted 4 of 9 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 45 runners on the season and 33.3% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Phillies have dispatched 114 relief pitchers to the hill this year.

The Phillies have turned 63.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,478 innings on the field, ranking them 30th in MLB. The Philadelphia Phillies have earned a total of 826 putouts on the campaign, as well as 274 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .984 which is 23rd in the majors, and have 17 double plays.

Wheeler (113-75 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.23 while he has faced 7,106 hitters in the majors. He has surrendered 1,478 base hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 493 walks. His earned run average is 3.28 (632 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.137. Wheeler has taken the ball for 1,733 innings and has racked up 1,826 strikeouts during his MLB career.

The Miami Marlins have earned an on-base percentage of .331 as well as a team batting average of .250 for the year. They have been called out on strikes on 251 occasions (18th in baseball) and have 257 base hits. Miami has knocked in 23 home runs for the year and 129 runs batted in. The Marlins hold a team slugging % of .381 and they average 4.35 runs per game (17th in MLB). They have tallied 49 doubles, while getting a free base 112 times as well as notching 135 runs.

The Marlins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.276 and have a FIP of 3.98 as a team on the campaign. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.60 (259 strikeouts against 118 walks). They have a ranking of 5th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 228. They have allowed 27 home runs and they yield 4.45 runs per 9 innings (15th in baseball). The Miami pitching staff have relinquished 134 runs on the year while having an ERA of 3.92 (118 earned runs allowed).

Miami relievers have an inherited score percentage of 31.4% out of their 35 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 31 times in high leverage situations and on 23 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 37 save situations, the Marlins have recorded 20 holds in addition to 6 blown saves. They sit at 14th in the league holding a save percentage of 62.5%, and they have sent 95 relief pitchers onto the diamond this season.

The Miami Marlins have gotten 17 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .980 (28th in the majors). The Marlins have racked up 244 assists, 22 errors and have accumulated 815 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 2,445 innings played, the Marlins are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.1% (8th in baseball).

Meyer (7-11 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 4.92 earned run average and has surrendered 9.4 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.89 and he has gone up against 691 batters thus far in his career. He has allowed 86 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.387 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.8. In his career, Meyer has surrendered 165 base knocks while he has totaled 153 strikeouts in 157 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+132)

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