Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 7/27/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

Date: Monday, July 27, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-160) Miami (+132)

The Miami Marlins (52-52) host the Philadelphia Phillies (56-48) at LoanDepot Park on Monday. The odds on this game have Philadelphia at -160 while Miami is priced at +132. The over/under is set at 8. The starting pitchers are Zack Wheeler and Tyler Phillips.

Philadelphia is slugging .400 and have been called out on strikes 926 times, while taking a walk on 302 occasions. They have tallied 433 runs batted in as well as 821 hits for the year, and their team batting average is .235. The Phillies have hit 141 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 135 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 448 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .302. As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 4.3 runs per game, which is 19th in baseball.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.36 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.31. Phillies pitchers have conceded 126 home runs and 464 runs (16th in the league). Philadelphia has given up 904 base knocks (8.8 per 9 innings) as well as 433 earned runs. The Phillies are sitting with a team ERA of 4.23 on the year (18th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,016 hitters. They have walked 302 batters and their FIP is 3.81 as a squad on the campaign.

The Phillies relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 74.4% and stepped onto the hill in 82 save situations. They have accumulated 29 saves on the year and have missed out on 10 of their 39 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 110 base runners on the campaign and 35.5% of those players crossing home plate. Phillies relief pitchers have come into the game with players on base 78 times in addition to having 86 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have sent 345 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The bullpen have a total of 41 holds for the season (26th in MLB).

The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated 2,767 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 854 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .986 which has them sitting 15th in baseball, and have a total of 59 double plays. The Phillies have turned 67.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 8,301 innings on the field, which has them sitting 29th in baseball.

Wheeler has taken the mound for 1,828 innings and has totaled 1,937 strikeouts during his MLB career. Wheeler (123-77 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.17 and he has faced 7,466 batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.22 (654 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.123. He has conceded 1,541 base knocks (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 512 free passes.

The Marlins hold a team SLG% of .407 and they are earning 4.41 runs per contest (17th in baseball). They have recorded 175 two-baggers, while taking a walk 347 times and notching 459 runs. Miami has accumulated 106 home runs over the course of the season as well as 442 runs batted in. They have struck out on 854 occasions (19th in baseball) and have recorded 870 base hits. The Miami Marlins have accumulated an OBP of .326 and a batting average of .251 this season.

The Marlins have a WHIP of 1.251 in addition to having a FIP of 4.06 as a staff this year. They rank 4th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 784. The Miami pitching staff have relinquished 450 runs this season while holding an ERA of 4.05 (411 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio is 8.60 (876 strikeouts against 358 walks). They have conceded 106 HR's and they give up 4.44 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league).

They are ranked 15th in MLB with a save percentage of 63.9%, and they have dispatched 334 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 101 times in high leverage situations and also on 91 occasions with base runners. With 96 save situations, the Marlins have accrued 58 holds in addition to 13 blown saves. Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 36 save opportunities and they have come away with 23 saves. Miami bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 21.1% out of 133 inherited base runners.

The Miami Marlins have gotten 75 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .981 (27th in professional baseball). The Marlins have accrued 855 assists, 68 errors and have accumulated 2,739 putouts this year. Out of their 8,217 innings on the field, the Marlins have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (8th in MLB).

Phillips (8-7 career mark) is the owner of a 3.87 ERA and has surrendered 8.6 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.06 and he has gone up against 815 opposing hitters so far in his career. He has conceded a total of 83 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.299 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. During his career, Phillips has given up 184 base hits while totaling 138 punch outs in 193 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Miami (+132) and under 8 runs

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