Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 8/16/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Twins.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-122) Minnesota (+102)

The Philadelphia Phillies (65-58) are traveling to Target Field on Sunday where they will meet the Minnesota Twins (60-63). The moneyline on this contest has the Phillies at -122 and the Twins are priced at +102. The betting total is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Andrew Painter and Dean Kremer.

As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 4.4 runs per game, which ranks them 17th in the league. They have accounted for 542 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .309. The Phillies have accounted for 172 doubles as a team and have knocked 152 balls out of the park. They have amassed 523 runs batted in and 980 hits over the course of the season, and their team batting average is sitting at .238. Philadelphia has a slugging percentage of .400 and have struck out 1,054 times, while taking a walk on 390 occasions.

Get all of our MLB Expert Picks

They have a K/BB ratio of 3.24 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.30. Phillies pitchers have surrendered 145 home runs in addition to 543 runs (17th in the league). Philadelphia has conceded 1,049 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 506 earned runs. The Phillies have a team ERA of 4.18 so far this year (18th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,208 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 373 hitters and their FIP is 3.77 as a team on the campaign.

The Phillies bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 66.0% and have stepped onto the mound in 98 save situations. They have compiled 31 saves this year and have blown 16 of their 47 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 129 base runners on the season with 37.2% of those players crossing home plate. Phillies bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 96 times as well as having 115 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have sent 413 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. The bullpen have recorded 49 holds this year (28th in baseball).

The Phillies have converted 67.4% of balls in play into outs out of their 9,816 innings, which has them sitting at 29th in pro baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have earned 3,272 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,007 assists and 62 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which puts them in 16th in baseball, and they have turned 74 double plays.

Painter has thrown 80 innings and is sitting with 69 punch outs in his pro baseball career. Painter (2-8 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 6.20 while going up against 360 opposing hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 6.29 (56 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.536. He has allowed 92 hits (10.3 hits per 9 innings) with 31 walks.

The Twins have a SLG% of .406 and they score 4.65 runs per game (9th in baseball). They have recorded 199 doubles, while taking a walk 403 times and racking up 572 runs. Minnesota has recorded 144 home runs on the campaign to go along with 544 runs batted in. They have struck out on 998 occasions (18th in baseball) and have accounted for 1,016 hits. The Minnesota Twins have an OBP of .319 and a team batting average of .245 this year.

The Twins have a team WHIP of 1.380 in addition to having a FIP of 4.33 as a unit so far this year. They are sitting at 25th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,049. The Minnesota pitching staff have conceded 610 runs on the year and come in with a team ERA of 4.62 (557 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.40 (1,014 strikeouts vs 449 walks). They have surrendered 144 homers and they relinquish 5.06 runs per 9 innings (26th in baseball).

They are ranked 4th in baseball holding a save rate of 73.9%, and they have dispatched 406 relievers onto the diamond for the year. Their relief pitchers have come in 131 times in high leverage situations and on 119 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 127 save situations, the Twins have recorded 78 holds in addition to 12 blown saves. Minnesota has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 46 save chances and they have come away with 34 saves. Minnesota bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 36.4% out of their 173 inherited base runners.

In 9,771 innings played, the Twins have a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (23rd in baseball). The Minnesota Twins have turned 86 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in pro baseball). The Twins have accrued 938 assists, 58 errors and are sitting with 3,257 putouts this season.

Kremer (42-44 career win-loss record) has a 4.38 earned run average and has given up 8.7 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.64 and he has gone up against 2,989 batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has given up 344 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.295 and a FIP of 4.3. So far in his career, Kremer has given up 683 base hits while tallying 616 K's in 707 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-122)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.