Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, 6/27/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, June 27, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-132) New York (+110)

The New York Mets (34-47) will play the Philadelphia Phillies (45-36) at Citi Field on Saturday. The odds on this game have Philadelphia at -132 while New York is priced at +110. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Alan Rangel and Christian Scott.

The Phillies have earned 109 doubles as a unit and have hit 107 balls out of the park. Philadelphia has a slugging % of .402 and have struck out 700 times, while taking a walk on 237 occasions. As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are compiling 4.4 runs/g, which has them sitting at 17th in MLB. They have amassed 348 RBI's as well as 642 base knocks on the year, and their team batting average is at .236. They have tallied 359 runs while having a team OBP of .302.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.49 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.30. Phillies pitchers have given up 94 home runs and also 355 runs in total (13th in the league). Philadelphia has yielded 713 hits (8.9 per 9 innings) and also 331 earned runs. The Phillies have compiled a team ERA of 4.14 on the campaign (15th in baseball), and they have struck out 772 hitters. They have walked 221 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.71 as a team this season.

The Phillies relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 72.7% and have entered the game in 66 save situations. They have accumulated 24 saves this season and have blown 9 out of their 33 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 81 base runners this year and 30.9% of them ended up scoring. Phillies bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 63 times and also have had 70 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have dispatched 270 relievers to the hill so far this year. The relief pitchers have accumulated 32 holds over the course of the season (26th in baseball).

The Philadelphia Phillies have amassed 2,161 putouts so far this season, as well as 679 assists and 39 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which has them ranked 14th in MLB, and have accumulated 45 double plays. The Phillies have turned 67.2% of baseballs in play into outs in their 6,483 innings, ranking them 29th in the majors.

Rangel (0-0 record in his career) has a FIP of 2.33 while facing 79 opposing batters during his time in the majors. He has given up 18 hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 6 walks. His ERA is 2.37 (5 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.263. Rangel has taken the ball for 19 innings and has accounted for 17 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

The Mets have a team slugging percentage of .377 and they score 4.05 runs per game (24th in MLB). They have 99 doubles, while taking a walk 241 times and putting up 328 runs. New York has recorded 92 home runs for the season to go along with 314 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 673 occasions (17th in the league) and have 628 base knocks. The New York Mets have tallied a team on-base percentage of .299 in addition to a team batting average of .231 for the season.

The New York pitching staff have allowed 375 runs this season while holding an ERA of 4.17 (335 earned runs conceded). They have allowed 83 HR's and they concede 4.67 runs per 9 innings (17th in MLB). The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.286 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.91 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.20 (741 strikeouts vs 290 walks). They come in at 11th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 640.

Sitting with 51 save situations, the Mets have recorded 29 holds in addition to 9 blown saves. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 22 save opportunities and they have earned 13 saves. New York relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.0% out of 109 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 92 times in high leverage situations and also on 83 occasions with runners on base. They are ranked 20th in MLB with a save rate of 59.1%, and they have sent 248 relievers to the mound on the year.

Out of their 6,513 innings on the diamond, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (17th in professional baseball). The New York Mets have turned 46 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .982 (28th in MLB). The Mets have recorded 661 assists, 53 errors and are sitting with 2,171 putouts so far this year.

In his pro baseball career, Scott has surrendered 81 hits while he has accumulated 86 K's in 87 frames. He has surrendered a total of 38 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.283 and having a FIP of 3.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.77 and he has gone up against 375 batters during his pro baseball career. Scott (2-3 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.92 earned run average while giving up 8.4 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-132)

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