Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, 6/28/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

Date: Sunday, June 28, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-144) New York (+120)

The New York Mets (34-47) host the Philadelphia Phillies (45-36) at Citi Field on Sunday. The line on this matchup has Philadelphia at -144 and New York is priced at +120. The total is set at 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Jesus Luzardo and Tobias Myers.

The Phillies have hit 109 doubles as a squad and have smacked 107 balls out of the park. Philadelphia has a slugging % of .402 and have been called out on strikes 700 times, while taking a walk on 237 occasions. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.4 runs per game, which puts them at 17th in MLB. They have accounted for 348 RBI's as well as 642 base knocks for the year, while their batting average is .236. They have accumulated 359 runs scored while having a team OBP of .302.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.49 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.30. Phillies pitchers have relinquished 94 home runs and 355 total runs (13th in MLB). Philadelphia has relinquished 713 base hits (8.9 per 9 innings) and 331 earned runs. The Phillies have a team ERA of 4.14 this season (15th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 772 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 221 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.71 as a team on the campaign.

The Phillies have sent 270 relievers to the mound so far this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 81 base runners on the year with 30.9% of them crossing the plate. The relievers are sitting with 32 holds on the campaign (26th in baseball). Phillies relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 63 times in addition to having 70 appearances in high leverage situations. They have accumulated 24 saves for the season and have missed out on 9 of 33 save opportunities. The Phillies bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 72.7% and have come into the game in 66 save situations.

The Philadelphia Phillies have a total of 2,161 putouts for the season, as well as 679 assists and 39 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986 which has them ranked 14th in pro baseball, and they have turned 45 double plays. The Phillies have converted 67.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,483 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 29th in professional baseball.

Luzardo has pitched in 787 innings and is sitting with 885 K's during his pro baseball career. Luzardo (47-45 career record) has a FIP of 4.15 and he has gone up against 3,296 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.22 (369 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.252. He has given up 719 hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has 267 walks.

The New York Mets have an on-base percentage of .299 as well as a team batting average of .231 on the year. They have struck out on 673 occasions (17th in MLB) and have totaled 628 hits. New York has accumulated 92 HRs for the season to go along with 314 runs batted in. The Mets hold a team SLG% of .377 and they are recording 4.05 runs per contest (24th in MLB). They have hit 99 doubles, while taking a walk 241 times as well as racking up 328 runs.

The New York pitching staff have given up 375 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 4.17 (335 earned runs surrendered). They have relinquished 83 dingers and they allow 4.67 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league). The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.286 in addition to having a FIP of 3.91 as a staff over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.20 (741 strikeouts vs 290 bases on balls). They come in at 11th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 640.

With 51 save situations, the Mets have compiled 29 holds and 9 blown saves. New York has had relievers enter the contest in 22 save chances and they have tallied 13 saves. New York relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 33.0% out of their 109 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 92 times in high leverage situations and on 83 occasions with base runners. They rank 20th in MLB with a save percentage of 59.1%, and they have dispatched 248 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year.

In 6,513 innings on the field, the Mets are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (17th in pro baseball). The New York Mets have gotten 46 double plays and have a fielding rate of .982 (28th in the majors). The Mets have racked up 661 assists, 53 errors and have earned a total of 2,171 putouts during this campaign.

Myers (10-10 win-loss mark in his career) has a 3.64 ERA while conceding 8.7 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.08 and he has faced 954 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 92 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.246 and having a FIP of 3.6. So far in his career, Myers has conceded 220 hits and he has 194 strikeouts in 227 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-144)

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