Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/18/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

Date: Friday, September 18, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-160) New York (+132)

Citi Field is where the New York Mets (69-83) will attempt to beat the Philadelphia Phillies (84-68) on Friday. The moneyline on this game has the Phillies at -160 while the Mets are coming in at +132. The total has been set at 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Tim Mayza and Zac Thornton.

Philadelphia is slugging .399 and have struck out 1,250 times, while being walked on 487 occasions. They have accounted for 661 RBI's and 1,230 hits for the year, while their team batting average is sitting at .241. The Phillies have accounted for 226 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 177 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 681 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .312. As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.5 runs/g, which is 15th in baseball.

Get all of our MLB Picks Today

The Phillies have a team earned run average of 3.99 on the season (11th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,476 batters. Phillies pitchers have yielded 180 home runs and 650 runs (10th in MLB). They have walked 454 opposing players and their FIP is 3.80 as a squad so far this season. Philadelphia has given up 1,274 base knocks (8.5 per 9 innings) and 598 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.25 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.28.

Phillies relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 113 times as well as having 152 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 70 holds so far this season (26th in MLB). The Phillies relievers have compiled a save rate of 63.5% and have come into the game in 135 save situations. They have accumulated 40 saves on the season and have blown 23 out of their 63 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 154 base runners on the season and 37.0% of those runners ended up scoring. The Phillies have sent 497 relievers to the hill so far this year.

The Philadelphia Phillies have notched a total of 4,051 putouts for the season, as well as 1,257 assists and 77 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .986 which ranks 15th in the majors, and have accumulated 97 double plays. The Phillies have converted 68.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,153 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 28th in pro baseball.

Mayza has thrown 382 innings and has totaled 382 punch outs in his career. Mayza (23-12 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.69 while he has gone up against 1,597 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.74 (159 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.245. He has given up 357 base knocks (8.4 hits per nine innings) with 119 free passes.

The New York Mets have tallied a team OBP of .308 and a batting average of .238 for the year. They have been rung up on 1,280 instances (13th in the league) and have tallied 1,220 hits. New York has a total of 190 home runs so far this year and 621 RBIs. The Mets have a team slugging percentage of .394 and they earn 4.28 runs per contest (22nd in baseball). They have notched 195 doubles, while taking a walk 490 times and putting up 650 runs.

The New York pitching staff have given up 693 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 4.18 (629 earned runs allowed). They have given up 177 long balls and they surrender 4.61 runs per 9 innings (18th in baseball). The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.298 and have a FIP of 4.09 as a unit on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.10 (1,366 strikeouts against 518 walks). They rank 16th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,240.

They are ranked 18th in the league with a save percentage of 60.4%, and they have sent 472 relief pitchers to the mound this year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 156 times in high leverage situations and also on 137 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 120 save situations, the Mets have accumulated 68 holds in addition to 19 blown saves. New York has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 48 save opportunities and they have come away with 29 saves. New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 28.1% out of 192 inherited runners.

The New York Mets have gotten 92 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in the majors). The Mets have 1,178 assists, 90 errors and have amassed 4,064 putouts over the course of the season. In their 12,192 innings on the diamond, the Mets have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (19th in MLB).

During his career, Thornton has surrendered 69 hits while totaling 55 K's in 73 frames. He has given up a total of 28 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.163 and having a FIP of 3.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.44 and he has faced 293 opposing batters during his MLB career. Thornton (4-5 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 3.45 earned run average and has surrendered 8.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (+132)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.