Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/19/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-150) New York (+125)

Citi Field is the location where the New York Mets (69-84) will play the Philadelphia Phillies (85-68) on Saturday. The line on this contest has Philadelphia at -150 while New York is coming in at +125. The over/under is 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Andrew Painter and Christian Scott.

As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are knocking in 4.5 runs per contest, which ranks them 15th in MLB. They have racked up 684 runs and have an on-base percentage of .312. The Phillies have accumulated 227 doubles as a squad and have knocked 177 balls out of the park. They have accrued 664 runs batted in and 1,238 base knocks on the campaign, and their team batting average is at .242. Philadelphia has a slugging % of .398 and have been called out on strikes 1,256 times, while drawing a walk on 492 occasions.

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Their K/BB ratio is 3.23 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.28. Phillies pitchers have allowed 180 long balls and also 650 total runs (10th in MLB). Philadelphia has allowed 1,278 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and also 598 earned runs. The Phillies hold a team ERA of 3.96 for the season (11th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,484 batters. They have walked 459 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.79 as a team on the season.

The Phillies relief pitchers have a save percentage of 64.1% and stepped onto the hill in 138 save situations. They have tallied 41 saves on the campaign and have not converted 23 of their 64 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 155 base runners this season and 36.8% of those runners crossing the plate. Phillies pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 114 times in addition to having 152 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have dispatched 500 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. The relievers are sitting with 72 holds so far this season (24th in MLB).

The Phillies have turned 68.1% of balls in play into outs in their 12,234 innings on the field, which has them sitting 28th in the majors. The Philadelphia Phillies have notched a total of 4,078 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,270 assists and 77 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which is 15th in professional baseball, and they have turned 99 double plays.

Painter has taken the ball for 115 innings and has racked up 100 punch outs in his career. His ERA is 5.55 (71 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.442. He has surrendered 123 hits (9.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 43 walks. Painter (3-9 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 5.47 while he has gone up against 507 hitters in the major leagues.

The Mets hold a slugging % of .393 and they have an average of 4.25 runs per game (22nd in the league). They have put up 195 two-baggers, while taking a walk 495 times and putting up 650 runs. New York has accounted for 190 home runs on the campaign to go along with 621 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,288 instances (13th in the league) and have a total of 1,224 hits. The New York Mets have accounted for an on-base percentage of .308 and a batting average of .237 for the season.

The New York pitching staff have allowed 696 runs on the season while having an ERA of 4.17 (631 earned runs conceded). They have allowed 177 long balls and they relinquish 4.60 runs per 9 innings (18th in baseball). The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.299 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.08 as a team for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.10 (1,372 strikeouts against 523 bases on balls). They come in at 16th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,248.

With 120 save situations, the Mets have earned 68 holds and 19 blown saves. New York has had relievers enter the contest in 48 save chances and they have tallied 29 saves. New York relievers have an inherited score percentage of 28.1% out of their 192 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 156 times in high leverage situations and on 137 occasions with runners on. They are ranked 18th in baseball with a save rate of 60.4%, and they have sent 474 relief pitchers onto the field so far this season.

In their 12,273 innings on the diamond, the Mets hold a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (19th in baseball). The New York Mets have gotten 93 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in MLB). The Mets have recorded 1,185 assists, 91 errors and are sitting with 4,091 putouts this year.

So far in his MLB career, Scott has allowed 132 hits while he has earned 166 strikeouts in 152 innings pitched. Scott (4-8 career mark) is the owner of a 4.02 ERA while allowing 7.8 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 68 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.248 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.86 and he has gone up against 650 hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-150)

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