Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 8/10/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Monday, August 10, 2026

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Cardinals.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-132) St. Louis (+110)

Busch Stadium is the location where the St. Louis Cardinals (58-58) will try to defeat the Philadelphia Phillies (62-55) on Monday. The moneyline on this matchup has Philadelphia at -132 while St. Louis is priced at +110. The over/under is 9. The men taking the mound are Andrew Painter and Hunter Dobbins.

As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.4 runs per game, which has them at 17th in the league. They have racked up 516 runs while holding a team OBP of .307. The Phillies have hit 164 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 145 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 499 RBI's and 930 base knocks over the course of the season, and their average at the plate comes in at .238. Philadelphia has a slugging % of .401 and have struck out 1,008 times, while being walked on 356 occasions.

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The Phillies have a team earned run average of 4.20 on the campaign (19th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,140 hitters. Phillies pitchers have given up 141 home runs and also 515 total runs (16th in the league). They have walked 352 hitters and their FIP sits at 3.83 as a team over the course of the season. Philadelphia has relinquished 999 base knocks (8.7 per 9 innings) and 482 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.24 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.31.

The Phillies have dispatched 391 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 122 runners on the season with 38.5% of those runners ended up scoring. The relievers have 47 holds this year (26th in baseball). Phillies relief pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 87 times in addition to having 103 appearances in high leverage situations. They have tallied 30 saves on the campaign and have not converted 14 out of their 44 save opportunities. The Phillies relievers have a save rate of 68.2% and have entered the game in 93 save situations.

The Phillies have turned 67.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of 9,303 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 29th in pro baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have amassed 3,101 putouts for the season, in addition to 956 assists and 60 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .985 which is 17th in MLB, and they have turned 68 double plays.

Painter (1-8 career mark) has a FIP of 6.38 and he has gone up against 339 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 90 base hits (10.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 28 free passes. His ERA is 6.48 (54 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.573. Painter has taken the hill for 75 frames and has totaled 63 K's thus far in his career.

St. Louis has accumulated 119 long balls on the year as well as 489 runs batted in. They have notched 159 two-baggers, while taking a walk 375 times as well as recording 502 runs. The St. Louis Cardinals have tallied an on-base percentage of .315 in addition to a team batting average of .239 over the course of the season. The Cardinals hold a slugging % of .378 and they are scoring 4.33 runs per outing (18th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 897 occasions (27th in baseball) and have a total of 928 base hits.

The Cardinals have a team WHIP of 1.339 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.09 as a pitching staff on the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.70 (890 strikeouts vs 390 walks). They are sitting at 24th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 996. They have relinquished 114 long balls and they surrender 4.44 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB). The St. Louis pitching staff have allowed 511 runs this season while having an ERA of 4.10 (472 earned runs surrendered).

They are ranked 17th in MLB with a save percentage of 61.1%, and they have dispatched 389 relievers onto the diamond for the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 147 times in high leverage situations and also on 126 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 134 save situations, the Cardinals have accumulated 77 holds and 21 blown saves. St. Louis has had relievers step onto the hill in 54 save opportunities and they have tallied 33 saves. St. Louis bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 37.2% out of their 183 inherited runners.

In their 9,318 innings on the diamond, the Cardinals have a efficiency on defense of 69.4% (18th in professional baseball). The St. Louis Cardinals have turned 107 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .988 (5th in the majors). The Cardinals have accrued 1,095 assists, 51 errors and have amassed 3,106 putouts on the season.

During his career, Dobbins has given up 99 base hits while he has totaled 81 strikeouts in 101 frames. Dobbins (6-3 career record) is the owner of a 3.92 earned run average while allowing 8.8 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 44 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.287 and a FIP of 3.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.61 and he has gone up against 425 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take St. Louis (+110) and under 9 runs

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